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Islamophobia Without Muslims? The “Contact Hypothesis” as an Explanation for Anti-Muslim Attitudes – Eastern European Societies in a Comparative Perspective


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Figure 1

The effect of the factual presence of Muslim minorities in European societies on the average support for a Muslim banSource: European Social Survey 2014 and PEW Research 2011. Own figure.
The effect of the factual presence of Muslim minorities in European societies on the average support for a Muslim banSource: European Social Survey 2014 and PEW Research 2011. Own figure.

Figure 2

The effect of contacts on the average support for a Muslim banSource: European Social Survey 2014. Own figure.
The effect of contacts on the average support for a Muslim banSource: European Social Survey 2014. Own figure.

Individual-level predictors of Islamophobia

Dependent Variable: Support for a Muslim ban
RegionEastern Eu ropeScandinavia
CountryCZEESTHUNLTUSVNPOLDNKFINSWF
Contact with-.15***-.07*-.05-.18***-.18***-.12*-.17***-.21***-.08**
migrants(.05)(.04)(.05)(.05)(.05)(.07)(.04)(.3)(.03)
Nationalism-.04.04.02.06-.02.06.06*.04-.04
(.04)(0.4)(.04)(.05)(.04)(.06)(.03)(.03)(.03)
Religiosity-.05*-.03.01.03.04.07.03.04*-.01
(.03)(.03)(.03)(.05)(.03)(.05)(.03)(.03)(.02)
Realistic threat.30***.28***.40***.22***.20**.21*.24***.48***.46***
percention(.06)(.07)(.07)(.10)(.08)(.11)(.06)(.05)(.06)
Symbolic threat.34***.41***.26***.58***.64***.55***.63***.46***.50***
perception(.06)(.06)(.07)(.09)(.07)(.10)(.05)(.05)(.05)
Ethnocentrism.08***.16***.11***.08***.08**.16***.10***.14***.06**
(.01)(.02)(.02)(.03)(.03)(.04)(.02)(.02)(.03)
Collective.05.01.13***.11*.01.16**.13***.09***.07***
deprivation(.04)(.05)(.04)(.06)(.05)(.06)(.03)(.03)(.03)
Education-.02-.08**-.04-.10**-.08*-.03.01-.05***-.08***
(.03)(.03)(.03)(.04)(.05)(.04)(.02)(.02)(.02)
Gender.03**.02.01-.02-.02-.01-.01-.01-.01
(.01)(.02)(.01)(.02)(.02)(.02)(.01)(.01)(.01)
Age.04.44***.03.07.15***.04.17***.23***.10***
(.03)(.04)(.04)(.06)(.04)(.06)(.03)(.02)(.03)
Constant.40***.13***.29***.23***.11.08-.06.01-.05
(.06)(.05)(.06)(.07)(.07)(.10)(.05)(.04)(.04)
R-Squared.23.35.31.28.38.26.46.45.47
Observations1.1149976986715944301.0771.5991.180

Societal-level predictors of Islamophobia

Effects on the support for a Muslimban: standardized Beta-coefficients
Effect of left-hand side predictor without controlEffect of left-hand predictor controlled for contacts with migrantsEffect of contacts with migrants controlled for left-hand side predictor
Contact with migrants-.88***
Share of Muslim population-.77***-.30*-.67***
Nationalism.11-.50-.94***
Religiosity.13.06-.87***
Realistic threat perceptions.66***.23-.74***
Symbolic threat perceptions.63***.29**-.74***
Ethnocentrism.52**.17-.80***
Collective deprivation.54**.31***-.79***

Operationalization

Theoretical ConstructItemOriginal ScaleNew Scale
IslamophobiaAllow many or few Muslims to come and live in country1 = Allow many to come and live here 4 = Allow none1 = Allow none (...) 0 = Allow many to come and live here
Contact with migrantsDifferent race or ethnic group: contact, how often1 = Never 7 = Every dayWe constructed an additive index: 1 = Much contact, many friends, good perception of contact (...) 0 = No contact, no friends, bad perception or contacts
Different race or ethnic group: have any close friends1 = Yes, several 2 = Yes, a few 3 = No, none at all
Different race or ethnic group: contact, how bad or good0 = Extremely bad 10 = Extremely good
NationalismFeel close to country1 = Very close 4 = Not close at all1 = Very close (...) 0 = Not close at all
ReligiosityBelonging to particular re-ligion or denominationl=Yes 2 = NoWe constructed an additive index: 1 = Highly religious person (...) 0 = Not religious at all
How religious are you0 = Not religious at all 10 = Very religious
How often attend religious services apart from special occasions1 = Every day 7 = Never
Realistic threat perceptionImmigrants take jobs away in country or create new jobs0 = Take jobs away 10 = Create new jobsWe constructed an additive index: 1 = High realistic threat perception (...) 0 = No realistic threat perceptions
Taxes and services: immigrants take out more than they put in or less0 = Generally take out more 10 = Generally put in more
Immigrants make country's crime problems worse or better0 = Crime problems made worse 10 = Crime problems made better
Immigration bad or good for country's economy0 = Bad for economy 10 = Good for the economy
Symbolic threat perceptionImmigrants make country worse or better place to live0 = Worse place to live 10 = Better place to liveWe constructed an additive index: 1 = High symbolic threat perception (...) 0 = No symbolic threat perception
Country's cultural life undermined or enriched by immigrants0 = Cultural life undermined 10 = Cultural life enriched
Religious beliefs and practices undermined or enriched by immigrants0 = Religious beliefs and practices undermined 10 = Religious beliefs and practices enriched
EthnocentrismSome cultures: much better or all equal1 = Some cultures are much better than others 2 = All cultures are equalWe constructed an additive index: 1 = Ethnocentric world view (...) 0 = No ethnocentric worldview
Some races or ethnic groups: born less intelligent1 = Yes 2 = No
Some races or ethnic groups: born harder working1 = Yes 2 = No
Collective deprivationCompared to yourself government treats new immigrants better or worse1 = Much better 5 = Much worse1 = Much better (...) 0 = Much worse
EducationHighest level of education1 = Less than lower secondary 7 = Higher tertiary education1 = Higher tertiary education (...) 0 = Less than lower secondary
GenderGender1 = Male 2 = Female1 = Female 0 = Male
AgeAge of respondent, calculatedAge in years1 = Oldest respondent (...) 0 = Youngest respondent