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Modern interregional migration: evidence from Japan and Poland

INFORMAZIONI SU QUESTO ARTICOLO

Cita

Correlation matrix (Eq. 9) for Japan

Correlation matrix
ln Outmigration shareln CPIln Unemployment rateln MPln Time distance
ln Outmigration share1.000
ln CPI0.4431.000
ln Unemployment rate–0.041–0.3651.000
ln MP0.4080.592–0.5341.000
ln Time distance–0.481–0.1190.175–0.2611.000

Estimates table for the wage equation (Eq. 11) for Poland

Poland
ParametersDependent variablesEstimate
α0Constant term5.847
(1.30)
ΣElasticity of substitution3.101**
(2.00)
ΓDistance elasticity of migration cost0.149***
(3.26)
No. of observations16
R20.683

Estimates table for the NEG based migration equation (Eq. 9) for Japan

Japan
ParametersDependent variablesEstimateEstimate aEstimate b
b0Constant term–19.165***–63.711***–37.438***
(–2.69)(–7.34)(–5.29)
b1Log (Market Potential)0.846***2.537***–0.552*
(2.98)(7.75)(–1.84)
b2Log (Unemployment Rate)1.313***
(8.65)
b2Log (CPI)11.454***
(11.78)
ΛDistance elasticity of migration cost0.815***0.826***0.819***
(15.99)(16.48)(16.57)
bDInfluence of borders on migration cost–0.856***–0.848***–0.854***
(–29.94)(–29.38)(–30.60)
bTDummy variable for Tokyo metropolitan area2.142***1.931***1.829
(23.42)(20.71)(19.72)
bODummy variable for Osaka metropolitan area0.737***0.567***0.613***
(9.97)(7.54)(8.47)
No. of observations2,1622,1622,162
R20.5110.5270.541

Estimates table for the NEG based migration equation (Eq. 8) for Poland

Poland
ParametersDependent variablesEstimateEstimate aEstimate b
α0Constant term–53.448***–54.192***275.240***
(–7.68)(–5.56)(3.43)
α1Log (Market Potential)2.507***2.538***2.356***
α2Log (Unemployment Rate)(8.07)(6.00) 0.024(7.77)
(0.11)
α3Log (CPI)–70.181***
(4.10)
ΛDistance elasticity of migration cost0.684***0.683***0.776***
(5.99)(5.94)(6.88)
bDInfluence of borders on migration cost2.373**2.382**1.702**
(2.06)(2.05)(2.37)
αWDummy variable for Warsaw metropolitan area0.419**0.412*0.284
(2.06)(1.93)(1.42)
No. of observations240240240
R20.7090.7090.729

Estimates table for the wage equation (Eq. 11) for Japan

Japan
ParametersDependent variablesEstimate
α0Constant term–12.650
(–0.31)
ΣElasticity of substitution2.327***
(3.64)
ΓDistance elasticity of migration cost0.306***
(4.44)
No. of observations47
R20.399

Estimates table for gravity-based migration equation (Eq. 1) for Japan and Poland

ParametersDependent variablesJapanPoland
2000200820002008
EstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate a
b1Log population1.351***-1.444***-0.619***-0.632***-
(49.00)-(52.31)-(4.43)-(6.67)-
b2Log employment probability-1.501***5.773***-1.623***5.842***1.758***2.859***1.877***3.369***
(-6.87)(24.79)(-8.33)(29.22)(3.94)(7.42)(5.63)(12.52)
b3Log distance-0.803***-0.598***-0.749***-0.555***-0.845***-0.956***-0.871***-0.971***
(-34.36)(17.89)(-34.04)(-16.98)(-6.74)(-7.49)(-9.31)(-9.66)
b4Dummy for no adjacency-0.781***-1.084***-0.890***-1.166***-0.666***-0.607***-0.651***-0.597***
(-12.17)(-11.68)(-14.59)(-12.75)(-5.07)(-4.47)(-6.59)(-5.77)
b5Log size-0.246***0.235***-0.274***0.145***0.1490.532***0.505***0.756***
(-9.47)(6.72)(-11.54)(4.30)(0.96)(3.99)(4.96)(7.34)
No. of observations2,1622,1622,1622,162240240240240
R20.7570.4860.7860.5150.6610.6330.8030.765

Estimates table for gravity-based migration equation (Eq. 2) for Japan and Poland

ParametersDependent variablesJapanPoland
2000200820002008
EstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate aEstimateEstimate a
b1Log population1.230***-1.318***-0.671***-0.769***-
(45.19)-(48.06)-(6.45)-(9.20)-
b2Log wage-0.1825.687***-0.487**5.953***2.501***4.093***2.533***4.880***
(-0.92)(27.26)(-2.58)(31.17)(5.47)(9.82)(6.58)(14.56)
b3Log distance-0.781***-0.571***-0.742-0.543***-0.821***-0.881***-0.722***-0.811***
(-32.88)(-17.56)(-32.94)(-17.04)(-7.02)(-6.98)(-7.64)(-7.41)
b4Dummy for adjacency0.825***1.140***0.910***1.203***0.687***0.691***0.778***0.752***
(12.69)(12.64)(14.60)(13.48)(5.50)(5.10)(7.85)(6.51)
No. of observations2,1622,1622,1622,162240240240240
R20.7480.5090.7730.5130.6790.6220.8000.728

Correlation matrix (Eq. 8) for Poland

Correlation matrix
ln Outmigration shareln CPIln Unemployment rateln MPln Time distance
ln Outmigration share1.000
ln CPI–0.2351.000
ln Unemployment rate–0.3770.2421.000
ln MP0.579–0.251–0.6891.000
ln Time distance–0.667–0.1020.154–0.2411.000