<abstract xml:lang="en" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The paper by <italic>Jarušková</italic> and <italic>Hanek</italic> (2006) advocated application of the peaks over threshold method (POT method) for estimating the probability that a precipitation or discharges series exceeds a chosen high level. If daily precipitation amounts or average discharges are obtained at several stations one might be interested in estimating the probability that in the same time all variables of interest, e.g. precipitation amounts measured at several stations, exceed some chosen high levels. The paper explains how the method based on the point process approach may be used to get good estimates of such probabilities. Moreover, it presents some useful parametric models that were successfully applied by the author to some precipitation and discharges series of northern Moravia.</p></abstract>

The paper by Jarušková and Hanek (2006) advocated application of the peaks over threshold method (POT method) for estimating the probability that a precipitation or discharges series exceeds a chosen high level. If daily precipitation amounts or average discharges are obtained at several stations one might be interested in estimating the probability that in the same time all variables of interest, e.g. precipitation amounts measured at several stations, exceed some chosen high levels. The paper explains how the method based on the point process approach may be used to get good estimates of such probabilities. Moreover, it presents some useful parametric models that were successfully applied by the author to some precipitation and discharges series of northern Moravia.

Estimating high levels exceedance probabilities by point process approach with applications to northern Moravia precipitation and discharges series

Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Czech Technical University, Thákurova 7, CZ - 166 29 Praha 6, Czech Republic

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

The paper by Jarušková and Hanek (2006) advocated application of the peaks over threshold method (POT method) for estimating the probability that a...

Estimating high levels exceedance probabilities by point process approach with applications to northern Moravia precipitation and discharges series

Publié en ligne: 10 août 2009

Pages: 162 - 171

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10098-009-0015-z

Mots clés
srážkové a průtokové řady, pravděpodobnosti překročení vysoké úrovně, modelování chvostů vícerozměrného rozdělení, metoda špiček nad prahem, modelování struktury závislosti, funkce závislosti chvostů daná v inverzních argumentech

This content is open access.

Estimating high levels exceedance probabilities by point process approach with applications to northern Moravia precipitation and discharges series

Publié en ligne: 10 août 2009

Pages: 162 - 171

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/v10098-009-0015-z

Mots cléssrážkové a průtokové řady, pravděpodobnosti překročení vysoké úrovně, modelování chvostů vícerozměrného rozdělení, metoda špiček nad prahem, modelování struktury závislosti, funkce závislosti chvostů daná v inverzních argumentech

This content is open access.

Mots clés
srážkové a průtokové řady, pravděpodobnosti překročení vysoké úrovně, modelování chvostů vícerozměrného rozdělení, metoda špiček nad prahem, modelování struktury závislosti, funkce závislosti chvostů daná v inverzních argumentech