<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>This paper presents the perspectives of FORKOME model use regarding the simulation of fre and its impact on forest stands. The calculation of probability of forest fres and predicting its effect on forest stands are analysed as well. The model is supposed to examine the impact of fres on pine stands, which ultimately leads to a decline in the viability of those trees. As a result of fre activity there were determined the following categories of trees - undamaged, slightly damaged, heavily damaged and destroyed. Moreover, by conducting simulations on forests with Scots pine <italic>(Pinus sylvestris</italic> L.), there were demonstrated the possibilities of FORKOME model practical application. Simulation shows the possibility of the model to predict the fre damage in a particular year and the perspective of a stand development, taking into account climate change and its influence on the frequency of fres. Prospects and directions of further developments of the model concerning simulation of fre in forest stands were discussed as well.</p></abstract>

This paper presents the perspectives of FORKOME model use regarding the simulation of fre and its impact on forest stands. The calculation of probability of forest fres and predicting its effect on forest stands are analysed as well. The model is supposed to examine the impact of fres on pine stands, which ultimately leads to a decline in the viability of those trees. As a result of fre activity there were determined the following categories of trees - undamaged, slightly damaged, heavily damaged and destroyed. Moreover, by conducting simulations on forests with Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.), there were demonstrated the possibilities of FORKOME model practical application. Simulation shows the possibility of the model to predict the fre damage in a particular year and the perspective of a stand development, taking into account climate change and its influence on the frequency of fres. Prospects and directions of further developments of the model concerning simulation of fre in forest stands were discussed as well.

Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires

Department of Landscape Ecology, John Paul II Catholic University in Lublin, Konstantynów 1H, 20-708 Lublin, Poland

Department of Landscape Design, John Paul II Catholic University in Lublin, Konstantynów 1H, 20-708 Lublin, Poland

Department of Forest Management, University of Life Sciences in Poznan, Wojska Polskiego 71C, 60-625 Poznań, Poland

Ekológia (Bratislava)

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.

{"article-title":"Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires"}

This paper presents the perspectives of FORKOME model use regarding the simulation of fre and its impact on forest stands. The calculation of probability of...

Forkome Model Application for Prognosis of Forest Fires

Publié en ligne: 10 déc. 2014

Pages: 391 - 400

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/eko-2014-0035

© 2014 Ihor Kozak et. al.

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.