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Fig. 1

Map showing the study area.
Map showing the study area.

Fig. 2

The workflow of the methodology.
The workflow of the methodology.

Fig. 3

Histograms showing a range of values from 1984 to 2019 for LST (a), NDVI (b), and EVI (c).
Histograms showing a range of values from 1984 to 2019 for LST (a), NDVI (b), and EVI (c).

Fig. 4

Spatial pattern of land cover for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).
Spatial pattern of land cover for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).

Fig. 5

Spatial pattern of LST for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).
Spatial pattern of LST for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).

Fig. 6

Spatial pattern of NDVI for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).
Spatial pattern of NDVI for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).

Fig. 7

Spatial pattern of EVI for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).
Spatial pattern of EVI for 1984 (a), 2002 (b), 2013 (c) and 2019 (d).

Fig. 8

Mean LSTs (°C) associated with the eight LGAs.
Mean LSTs (°C) associated with the eight LGAs.

Fig. 9

Mean NDVIs associated with the eight LGAs.
Mean NDVIs associated with the eight LGAs.

Fig. 10

Mean EVIs associated with the eight LGAs.
Mean EVIs associated with the eight LGAs.

Fig. 11

Temporal relationship between EVI and NDVI and LST in bare land class (a), in built-up area class (b) and in vegetation class (c).
Temporal relationship between EVI and NDVI and LST in bare land class (a), in built-up area class (b) and in vegetation class (c).

Fig. 12

CI plot of vegetation against built-up areas between 1984 and 2019.
CI plot of vegetation against built-up areas between 1984 and 2019.

Fig. 13

CI plot of vegetation against bare land between 1984 and 2019.
CI plot of vegetation against bare land between 1984 and 2019.

Landsat 8 TIRS Thermal Band Calibration Constants.

Band 10 Band 11
K1 1774.89 1480.89
K2 1321.08 1201.14

Descriptive statistics of the LST, NDVI and EVI relationship with land cover in 2019.

Parameter Land cover class N Mean SD 95% Confidence Interval for Mean Min Max
Lower Bound Upper Bound
LST [°C] Bare land 2598 29.17 1.30 29.12 29.22 23.17 32.45
Built-up area 52944 29.80 1.46 29.79 29.82 19.48 34.81
Vegetation 111404 27.72 1.36 27.71 27.73 20.51 36.90
Total 166946 28.40 1.70 28.40 28.41 19.48 36.90
NDVI [−] Bare land 2598 0.29 0.12 0.29 0.30 0.01 0.68
Built-up area 52944 0.27 0.10 0.27 0.28 −0.02 0.68
Vegetation 111404 0.56 0.11 0.56 0.56 −0.06 0.80
Total 166946 0.47 0.17 0.47 0.47 −0.06 0.80
EVI [−] Bare land 2598 0.19 0.07 0.19 0.20 0.01 0.43
Built-up area 52944 0.16 0.06 0.16 0.16 −0.01 0.48
Vegetation 111404 0.34 0.07 0.34 0.34 −0.04 0.60
Total 166946 0.28 0.11 0.28 0.28 −0.04 0.60

Descriptive statistics of the LST, NDVI and EVI relationship with land cover in 1984.

Parameter Land cover class N Mean SD 95% Confidence Interval for Mean Min Max
Lower Bound Upper Bound
LST [°C] Bare land 859 25.31 1.04 25.24 25.38 21.30 27.93
Built-up area 5036 26.39 0.80 26.36 26.41 22.67 29.18
Vegetation 161051 22.55 1.10 22.54 22.55 17.63 29.14
Total 166946 22.68 1.29 22.67 22.68 17.63 29.18
NDVI [−] Bare land 859 0.13 0.04 0.13 0.13 0.05 0.33
Built-up area 5036 0.14 0.04 0.14 0.14 0.01 0.28
Vegetation 161051 0.38 0.06 0.38 0.38 0.00 0.50
Total 166946 0.37 0.07 0.37 0.37 0.00 0.50
EVI [−] Bare land 859 0.10 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.03 0.26
Built-up area 5036 0.10 0.03 0.10 0.10 0.01 0.20
Vegetation 161051 0.27 0.05 0.27 0.27 0.00 0.41
Total 166946 0.27 0.06 0.27 0.27 0.00 0.41

Coefficient of correlation (r) between LST, NDVI and ENVI in years 1984, 2002, 2013 and 2019.

Parameter LST NDVI EVI
1984 2002 2013 2019 1984 2002 2013 2019 1984 2002 2013 2019
LST 1984 1.00 0.62 0.53 0.31 −0.63 −0.62 −0.51 −0.46 −0.63 −0.60 −0.48 −0.45
LST 2002 0.62 1.00 0.80 0.60 −0.48 −0.70 −0.68 −0.71 −0.42 −0.65 −0.58 −0.69
LST 2013 0.53 .80* 1.00 0.66 −0.54 −0.75 −0.86 −0.85 −0.48 −0.69 −0.79 −0.85
LST 2019 0.31 0.60 0.66 1.00 −0.16 −0.41 −0.53 −0.64 −0.13 −0.37 −0.43 −0.62
NDVI 1984 −0.63 −0.48 −0.54 −0.16 1.00 0.80 0.63 0.53 0.99 0.78 0.66 0.56
NDVI 2002 −0.62 −0.70 −0.75 −0.41 0.80 1.00 0.82 0.73 0.77 0.98 0.80 0.74
NDVI 2013 −0.51 −0.68 −0.86 −0.53 0.63 0.82 1.00 0.86 0.58 0.78 0.96 0.86
NDVI 2019 −0.46 −0.71 −0.85 −0.64 0.53 0.73 0.86 1.00 0.47 0.68 0.79 0.96
EVI 1984 −0.63 −0.42 −0.48 −0.13 0.99 0.77 0.58 0.47 1.00 0.75 0.63 0.51
EVI 2002 −0.60 −0.65 −0.69 −0.37 0.78 0.98 0.78 0.68 0.75 1.00 0.78 0.71
EVI 2013 −0.48 −0.58 −0.79 −0.43 0.66 0.80 0.96 0.79 0.63 0.78 1.00 0.82
EVI 2019 −0.45 −0.69 −0.85 −0.62 0.56 0.74 0.86 0.96 0.51 0.71 0.82 1.00

Description of the land cover categories used in the study.

Land cover class Description
Built-up area This feature class encompasses settlements within the study area
Bare land Paved surfaces, exposed topsoil
Water body This encompasses all surface water bodies visible on the imagery
Vegetation Shrubs, grasslands, cultivated lands, wetlands and mangroves

Areal distribution of land cover in 1984, 2002, 2013 and 2019.

S/N Land cover class 1984 2002 2013 2019
km2 % km2 % km2 % km2 %
1 Bare land 7.08 0.40 50.53 2.83 13.65 0.76 24.85 1.39
2 Built-up area 40.77 2.28 130.34 7.30 416.27 23.32 441.49 24.73
3 Vegetation 1321.78 74.05 1199.50 67.20 956.68 53.60 933.83 52.32
4 Water body 415.37 23.27 404.63 22.67 398.40 22.32 384.83 21.56
Total 1785.00 100.00 1785.00 100.00 1785.00 100.00 1785.00 100.00

Linear regression analysis between the LST, NDVI, EVI and the time period, T.

Land cover class Equation R2 Significance (p<0.001) Sampled cells
All land cover classes LST = 0.193T − 8.542NDVI − 356.929 0.812 0.000 667784
LST = 0.173T − 12.441EVI − 316.797 0.784 0.000
Bare land LST = 0.158T − 6.072EVI − 288.905 0.542 0.000 10865
LST = 0.158T − 4.395NDVI − 289.447 0.557 0.000
Built-up area LST = 0.149T − 7.863EVI − 269.420 0.410 0.000 123246
LST = 0.153T − 5.335NDVI − 276.318 0.421 0.000
Vegetation LST = 0.159T − 9.795EVI − 290.462 0.729 0.000 533673
LST = 0.187T − 7.943NDVI − 344.852 0.770 0.000

Contribution index (CI).

Land Cover 1984 2002 2013 2019
Dt [°C] S CI Dt [°C] S CI Dt [°C] S CI Dt [°C] S CI
Bare Land 2.63 0.00 0.01 1.72 0.03 0.05 2.34 0.01 0.02 0.77 0.01 0.01
Built-up Area 3.71 0.02 0.08 1.91 0.07 0.14 2.88 0.23 0.67 1.40 0.25 0.35
Vegetation −0.13 0.74 −0.10 −0.28 0.67 −0.19 −1.26 0.54 −0.68 −0.68 0.52 −0.36

Trend Analysis using the Mann-Kendall test.

Category Time Mean LST [°C] Mean NDVI [−] Mean EVI [−]
All land cover classes 1984 22.68 0.37 0.27
2002 24.34 0.52 0.32
2013 26.46 0.60 0.37
2019 28.40 0.47 0.28
S 6 2 2
Sig. 0.042* 0.375 0.375
Qmed 0.178
Bare land 1984 25.31 0.13 0.10
2002 26.06 0.25 0.16
2013 28.80 0.25 0.18
2019 29.17 0.29 0.19
S 6 6 6
Sig. 0.042* 0.042* 0.042*
Qmed 0.115 0.006 0.003
Built-up area 1984 26.39 0.14 0.10
2002 26.25 0.26 0.16
2013 29.34 0.37 0.23
2019 29.80 0.27 0.16
S 4 4 3
Sig. 0.167 0.167 0.375
Qmed
Vegetation 1984 22.55 0.38 0.27
2002 24.06 0.56 0.35
2013 25.20 0.70 0.43
2019 27.72 0.56 0.34
S 6 4 2
Sig. 0.042* 0.167 0.375
Qmed 0.126

Descriptive statistics of the LST, NDVI and EVI relationship with land cover in 2002.

Parameter Land cover class N Mean SD 95% Confidence Interval for Mean Min Max
Lower Bound Upper Bound
LST [°C] Bare land 5948 26.06 1.04 26.03 26.08 22.74 29.85
Built-up area 15698 26.25 0.99 26.24 26.27 22.95 29.55
Vegetation 145300 24.06 0.95 24.06 24.07 22.36 29.64
Total 166946 24.34 1.20 24.33 24.35 22.36 29.85
NDVI [−] Bare land 5948 0.25 0.09 0.25 0.26 0.01 0.52
Built-up area 15698 0.26 0.12 0.26 0.27 0.00 0.59
Vegetation 145300 0.56 0.08 0.56 0.56 −0.20 0.70
Total 166946 0.52 0.13 0.52 0.52 −0.20 0.70
EVI [−] Bare land 5948 0.16 0.05 0.16 0.16 0.01 0.35
Built-up area 15698 0.16 0.08 0.16 0.16 0.00 0.42
Vegetation 145300 0.35 0.06 0.35 0.35 −0.08 0.56
Total 166946 0.32 0.09 0.32 0.32 −0.08 0.56

Descriptive statistics of the LST, NDVI and EVI relationship with land cover in 2013.

Parameter Land cover class N Mean SD 95% Confidence Interval for Mean Min Max
Lower Bound Upper Bound
LST [°C] Bare land 1460 28.80 1.82 28.70 28.89 24.46 34.15
Built-up area 49568 29.34 1.90 29.32 29.35 23.80 36.31
Vegetation 115918 25.20 1.31 25.19 25.21 23.09 34.73
Total 166946 26.46 2.43 26.45 26.47 23.09 36.31
NDVI [−] Bare land 1460 0.25 0.12 0.24 0.26 0.05 0.63
Built-up area 49568 0.37 0.13 0.37 0.38 −0.12 0.72
Vegetation 115918 0.70 0.09 0.70 0.70 −0.12 0.85
Total 166946 0.60 0.18 0.60 0.60 −0.12 0.85
EVI [−] Bare land 1460 0.18 0.08 0.18 0.19 0.04 0.43
Built-up area 49568 0.23 0.09 0.23 0.23 −0.04 0.53
Vegetation 115918 0.43 0.07 0.43 0.43 −0.05 0.74
Total 166946 0.37 0.12 0.37 0.37 −0.05 0.74

Landsat TM and ETM+ Thermal Band Calibration Constants.

Landsat 5 TM Landsat 7 ETM+
K1 1607.76 1666.09
K2 1260.56 1282.71
eISSN:
2081-6383
Language:
English
Publication timeframe:
4 times per year
Journal Subjects:
Geosciences, Geography