Environmental Modelling of Forest Vegetation Zones as A Support Tool for Sustainable Management of Central European Spruce Forests

Ackerman, F., De Canio, S. J., Howarth, R. B., Sheeran, K. (2009). Limitations of integrated assessment models of climate change. Climatic Change, 95, č. 3-4, s. 297-315.10.1007/s10584-009-9570-xSearch in Google Scholar

Anonymous (2014). Strategie přizpůsobení se změně klimatu v podmínkách ČR. Ministry of Environment of the Czech republic, Prague.Search in Google Scholar

Bachelet, D. R., Neilson, R. P., Lenihan, J. M., Drapek, R. J. (2001). Climate change effects on vegetation distribution and carbon budget in the U. S. Ecosystems, 4, s. 164-185.Search in Google Scholar

Bakkenes, M., Alkemade, R.M., Ihle, F., Leemans, R., Latour, J.B. (2002). Assessing effects of forecasted climate change on the diversity and distribution of European higher plants for 2050. Global Change Biology 8: 390-40710.1046/j.1354-1013.2001.00467.xSearch in Google Scholar

Botkin, D. B. (2007). Forecasting the effects of global warming on biodiversity. BioScience, 57, s. 227-236.10.1641/B570306Search in Google Scholar

Brázdil, R., Trnka, M. eds. (2015). Historie počasí a podnebí v českých zemích XI: Sucho v českých zemích: minulost, současnost a budoucnost. Centrum výzkumu globální změny Akademie věd České republiky, v.v.i., Brno, 402 s.Search in Google Scholar

Buček, A., Lacina, J. (2006). Biogeografická diferenciace v geobiocenologickém pojetí a její využití v krajinném plánování. In: Dreslerová, J., Packová, P. (eds.): Ekologie krajiny a krajinné plánování (s. 18-29). Lesnická práce, Kostelec nad Černými lesy.Search in Google Scholar

Buček, A., Lacina, J. (2007). Geobiocenologie II. Geobiocenologická typologie krajiny České republiky. Mendelova zemědělská a lesnická univerzita Brno, 244 s.Search in Google Scholar

Büntgen, U., Frank, D.C., Kaczka, R.J., Verstege, A., Zwijacz-Kozica, T., Esper, J. (2007). Growth responses to climate in a multi-species tree-ring network in the Western Carpathian Tatra Mountains. Tree Physiology, 27, s. 689–702.10.1093/treephys/27.5.68917267360Search in Google Scholar

Campioli, M., Vincke, C., Jonard, M., Kint, V., Demarée, G., Ponette, G. (2012). Current status and predicted impact of climate change on forest production and biogeochemistry in the temperate oceanic European zone: review and prospects for Belgium as a case study. Journal of Forest Research, 17: 1-18.Search in Google Scholar

Drégelyi-Kiss, Á., Drégelyi-Kiss, G., Hufnagel, L. (2008). Ecosystems as climate controllers – biotic feedbacks. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 6, č. 2, s. 11-134.10.15666/aeer/0602_111134Search in Google Scholar

Dubrovský, M., Hayes, M., Pierpaolo, D., Trnk,a M., Svoboda, M., Pierpaolo, Z. (2014). Multi-GCM projections of future drought and climate variability indicators for the Mediterranean region. Regional Environmental Change 14: 1907-1919.Search in Google Scholar

Garamvoelgyi, A., Hufnagel, L. (2013). Impacts f climate change on vegetation distribution no.1. Climate change induced vegetation shifts in the Palearctic region. Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 11, č. 1, s. 79-122.Search in Google Scholar

Giorgi, F., Hewitson, B., Christensen, J., Hulme, M., Von Storch, H., Whetton, P., Jones, R., Merns, I., Fu, C. (2002). Regional climate information – Evaluation and projection. In: Houghton, J. T., Ding, Y., Griggs, D. J., Noguer, M., Van der Linden, P., Dai, X., Maskell, K., Johnson, C. I. (eds.): Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (s. 583-638). Cambridge Univ. Press, New York.Search in Google Scholar

Gonzales, P., Neilson, R. P., Lenihan, J. M., Drapek, R. J. (2010). Global patterns in the vulnerability of ecosystems to vegetation shift due to climate change. Global Ecology & Biogeography, 19, s. 755-768.10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00558.xSearch in Google Scholar

Grassl, H. (2000). Status and improvements of coupled general circulation models. Science, 288, s. 1991-1997.10.1126/science.288.5473.199110856204Search in Google Scholar

Griess, V.C., Acevedo, R., Härtl, F., Staupendahl, K., Knoke, T. (2012). Does mixing tree species enhance stand resistance against natural hazards? A case study for spruce. Forest Ecology and Management 267: 284–296.Search in Google Scholar

Iverson, L.R., Mckenzie D. (2013). Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate: detecting, modelling, assisting. Landscape Ecology, 28, s. 879-889.10.1007/s10980-013-9885-xSearch in Google Scholar

Jactel, H., Petit, J., Desprez-Loustau, M.L., Delzon, S., Piou, D., Battisti, A., Koricheva, J. (2012). Drought effects on damage by forest insects and pathogens: a meta-analysis. Global Change Biology 18: 267–27610.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02512.xSearch in Google Scholar

Jiménez-Alfaro, B., Marcenó,C., Bueno, A., Gavilán, R., Obeso, J. R. (2014). Biogeographic deconstruction of alpine plant communities along altitudinal and topographic gradients. Journal of Vegetation Science, 25, s. 1, s. 160-171.10.1111/jvs.12060Search in Google Scholar

Jirásek, J. (1996). Společenstva přirozených smrčin České republiky. Preslia 67: 225-259.Search in Google Scholar

Jönsson, A.M., Lagergren, F., Smith, B. (2015). Forest management facing climate change – an ecosystem model analysis of adaptation strategies. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change 20: 201-22010.1007/s11027-013-9487-6Search in Google Scholar

Keskitalo, E.C.H. (2011). How can forest management adapt to climate change? Possibilities in different forestry systems. Forests 2:415–43010.3390/f2010415Search in Google Scholar

Kharuk, V.I., Im, S.T., Dvinskaya, M.L., Golukov, A.S., Ranson, K.J. (2015). Climate-induced mortality of spruce stands in Belarus. Environmental Research Letters 10: 125006.Search in Google Scholar

Kirilenko, A. P., Solomon, A. M. (1998). Modelling dynamic vegetation response to rapid climate change using bioclimatic classification. Climatic Change, 38, s. 15-49.10.1023/A:1005379630126Search in Google Scholar

Klenk, N.L., Adams, B.W., Bull, G.Q., Innes, J.L., Cohen, S.J., Larson, B.C. (2011). Climate change adaptation and sustainable forest management: A proposed reflexive research agenda. Forest Chronicle 87:351–35710.5558/tfc2011-025Search in Google Scholar

Kongsager, R., Locatelli, B., Chazarin, F. (2016). Addressing Climate Change Mitigation and Adptation Together: A Global Assessment of Agriculture and Forestry Projects. Environmental Management 57: 271-282.Search in Google Scholar

Konvička, M., Maradová, M., Beneš, J., Fric, Z., Kepka, P. (2003). Uphill shifts in distribution of butterflies in the Czech Republic: effects of changing climate detected on a regional scale. Global Ecological Biogegraphy, 12, s. 403-410.10.1046/j.1466-822X.2003.00053.xSearch in Google Scholar

Kopecká, V., Machar, I., Buček, A., Kopecký, A. (2013). The Impact of Climate Changes on Sugar Beet Growing Conditions in the Czech Republic. Listy cukrovarnické a řepařské, 129, č. 11, s. 326-329.Search in Google Scholar

Kulhavý, J. (2004). A new concept in sustainable forest management - the need for forest ecosystem and landscape research. Journal of Forest Science, 50(11): 520-525.Search in Google Scholar

Kupka, I. (2006). Is the Lang’s rain factor usable for assessing the microclimate influence on growth height of forest culture? Reports of Forestry Research, 51(3): 153-156.Search in Google Scholar

Kutnar, L., Kobler, A. (2011). Prediction of forest vegetation shift due to different climate-change scenarios in Slovenia. Sumarski List, 135, č. 3-4, s. 113-126.Search in Google Scholar

Lasch-Born, P., Suckow, F., Gutsch, M., Reyer, Ch., Hauf, Y., Murawski, A., Pilz, T. (2015). Forests under climate change: potential risks and Opportunities. Meteorologische Zeitschrift 24: 157–17210.1127/metz/2014/0526Search in Google Scholar

Lindner, M., Fitzgerald, J.B., Zimmermann, N.E., Reyer, Ch., Delzon, S., van der Maaten, E., Schelhaas, M.J., Lasch, P., Eggers, J., van der Maaten-Theunissen, M., Suckow, F., Psomas, A., Poulter, B., Hanewinkel, M. (2014). Climate change and European forests: What do we know, what are the uncertainties, and what are the implications for forest management? Journal of Environmental Management 146: 69-83.10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.07.03025156267Search in Google Scholar

Lipský, Z. (2000). Sledování změn v kulturní krajině. Česká zemědělská univerzita v nakladatelství a vydavatelství Lesnická práce, s. r. o., Kostelec nad Černými lesy, 71 s.Search in Google Scholar

Lomolino, M. V., Riddle, B. R., Brown, J. H. (2005). Biogeography. 3rd edition. Sinauer Assoc. Inc., Sunderland, 752 s.Search in Google Scholar

Mackovčin, P. (2000). A multi-level ecological network in the Czech Republic: Implementing the territorial system of ecological stability. GeoJournal, 51, č. 3, s. 211-220.10.1023/A:1017518529210Search in Google Scholar

Machar, I. (2013). Applying of the Biogeography Register to Predicting the Consequences of Global Climate Changes on the Landscape in the Czech Republic. In: Proceedings of the 11^th Int. Conference on Environment, Ecosystems and Development (p. 15-18). Brasov, Romania.Search in Google Scholar

Macků, J. (2014). Climatic characteristics of forest vegetation zones of the Czech Republic. Journal of Landscape Ecology (Brno), 7, č. 3, s. 39-48.Search in Google Scholar

Málek, J. (1984). Dubojehličnatý vegetační stupeň v ČR. Zprávy Geografického stavu ČASV v Brně, 21(4): 35-54.Search in Google Scholar

Matthies, B.D., Valsta, L.T. (2016). Optimal forest species mixture with carbon storage and albedo effect for climate change mitigation. Ecological Economics 123: 95–105.Search in Google Scholar

Mermet, L., Farcy, C. (2011). Contexts and concepts of forest planning in a diverse and contradictory world. Forest Policy Economics 13:361–36510.1016/j.forpol.2011.03.006Search in Google Scholar

Morin, X., Thuiler, W. (2009). Comparing niche- and process-based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change. Ecology, 90, č.5., s. 1301-1313.10.1890/08-0134.119537550Search in Google Scholar

Nakićenović, N., Swart, R. (2000). Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. A Special Report of Working Group III of the IPCC. Cambridge Univ. Press, New York. 612 s.Search in Google Scholar

Naudts, K., Chen, Y., McGrath, M.J., Ryder, J., Valade, A., Otto, J., Luyssaert, S., (2016). Europe’s forest management did not mitigate climate warming. Science 351, 6273: 597-599.Search in Google Scholar

Neilson, R. P., Pitelka, L. F., Solomon, A. M., Nathan, R., Midgley, G. F., Fragoso, J. M. V., Lishke, H., Thompson, K. (2005). Forecasting Regional to Global Plant Migration in Response to Climate Change. Bioscience, 55, č. 9, s. 749-759.10.1641/0006-3568(2005)055[0749:FRTGPM]2.0.CO;2Search in Google Scholar

Neilson, R. P., Prentice, I. C., Smith, B. (1998). Simulated changes in vegetation distribution under global warning. In: Watson, R. T., Zinyowera, M.C., Moss, R. H., Dokken, D. J. (eds): The Regional Impacts of Climate Change: An assessment of Vulnerability (p. 439-456). Cambridge Univ. Press.Search in Google Scholar

Neuner, S., Albrecht, A., Cullmann, D., Engels,, F., Griess, V.C., Hahn, A., Hanewinkel, M., Härtl, F., Kölling, CH., Kaistaupendahl, Knoke, T. (2015). Survival of Norway spruce remains higher in mixed stands under a dryer and warmer climate. Global Change Biology 21: 935-946.Search in Google Scholar

Oberhuber, W., Hammerle, A., Kofler, W. (2015). Tree water status and growth of saplings and mature Norway spruce (Picea abies) at a dry distribution limit. Frontiers in Plant Science 6: 70310.3389/fpls.2015.00703Search in Google Scholar

Olesen, J.E., Trnka, M., Kersebaum, K.C., Skjelvag, A.O., Seguin, B., Peltonen-Sainio, P., Rossi, F., Kozyra, J., Micale, F. (2011). Impacts and adaptation of European crop production systems to climate change. European Journal of Agronomy, 34, s. 96-112.10.1016/j.eja.2010.11.003Search in Google Scholar

Opdam, P., Wascher, D. (2004). Climate change meets habitat fragmentation: linking landscape and biogeographical scale levels in research and conservation. Biological Conservation, 117, s. 285-297.10.1016/j.biocon.2003.12.008Search in Google Scholar

Panayotov, M., Kuakowski, D., Tsvetanov, N., Krumm, F., Barbeito, I, Bebi, P. (2016). Climate extremes during high competition contribute to mortality in unmanaged self-thinning Norway spruce stands in Bulgaria. Forest Ecology and Management 369: 74-8810.1016/j.foreco.2016.02.033Search in Google Scholar

Parmesan, C. (2005). Biotic Response: Range and Abundance Changes. In: Lovejoy, T.E., Hannah, L. (eds.) Climate change and Biodiversity (p. 41-55). Yale Univ. Press, New Haven and London.Search in Google Scholar

Peterson, A. T., Soberon, T. J., Sanchez-Cordero, V. (1999). Conservatism of ecological niches in evolutionary time. Science, 285, s. 1265-1267.10.1126/science.285.5431.1265Search in Google Scholar

Peterson, A. T., Tian, H., Martínez-Meyer, E., Soberón, J., Sánchez-Cordero, V., Huntley, B. (2005). Modelling Distributional Shifts of Individual Species and Biomes. In: Lovejoy, T.E., Hannah, L. (eds.) Climate change and Biodiversity (pp. 211-228). Yale Univ. Press, New Haven and London.Search in Google Scholar

Prentice, I.C., Webb, N.R. (1989). Developing a global vegetation dynamics model: Results of an IIASA, RR-89-7. Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.Search in Google Scholar

Pretel, J. (2009). Současný vývoj klimatu a jeho výhled. Ochrana přírody, suppl., 46, s. 2-7. Pretel, J., ed. (2011). Zpřesnění dosavadních odhadů dopadů klimatické změny v sektorech vodního hospodářství, zemědělství a lesnictví a návrhy adaptačních opatření (V) - Závěrečná zpráva o řešení 2007–2011, Projekt VaV – SP/1a6/108/07. ČHMÚ, Praha. 126 s.Search in Google Scholar

Pretzsch, H., Biber, P., Uhl, E., Dauber, E. (2015). Long-term stand dynamics of managed spruce-fir-beech mountain forests in Central Europe: structure, productivity and regeneration success. Forestry 88: 407-428.Search in Google Scholar

Průša, E. (2001). Pěstování lesů na typologických základech. Lesnická práce, s. r. o.Search in Google Scholar

Reif, J., Storch, D., Voříšek, P., Šťastný, K., Bejček, V. (2008). Bird-habitat associations predict population trends in central European forest and farmland birds. Biodiversity Conservation, 17, s. 3307-3319.10.1007/s10531-008-9430-4Search in Google Scholar

Rosbakh, S., Bernhardt-Römermann, M., Poschlod, P. (2014). Elevation matters: contrasting effects of climate change on the vegetation development at different elevations in the Bavarian Alps. Alpine Botany, 124, č. 2, s. 143-154.10.1007/s00035-014-0139-6Search in Google Scholar

Santini, A., Ghelardini, L., De Pace, C., Desprez-Loustau, M.L., Capretti, P., Chandelier, A., Cech, T., Chira, D., Diamandis, S., Gaitniekis, T., Hantula, J., Holdenrieder, O., Jankovsky, L., Jung, T., Jurc, D., Kirisits, T., Kunca, A., Lygis, V., Malecka, M., Marcais, B., Schmitz, S., Schumacher, J., Solheim, H., Solla, A., Szabo, I., Tsopelas, P., Vannini, A., Vettraino, A.M., Webber, J., Woodward, S., Stenlid, J. (2013). Biogeographical patterns and determinants of invasion by forest pathogens in Europe. New Phytologist, 197(1): 238-250.Search in Google Scholar

Schröter, D., Cramer, W., Leemans, R., Prentice, I. C., Araújo, M. B. (2005). Ecosystem service supply and vulnerability to global change in Europe. Science, 310, s. 1333-1337.10.1126/science.1115233Search in Google Scholar

Skaloš, J., Engstová, B. (2010). Methodology for mapping non-forest wood elements using historic cadastral maps and aerial photographs as a basis for management. Journal of Environmental Management, 91, s. 831-843.10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.10.013Search in Google Scholar

Skrøppa, T. (2003). EUFORGEN Technical Guidelines for genetic conservation and use for Norway spruce (Picea abies). International Plant Genetic Resources Institute, Rome, Italy. 6pp.Search in Google Scholar

Sturrock, R.N., Frankel, S.J., Brown, A.V., Hennon, P.E., Kliejunas, J.T., Lewis, K.J., Worrall, J.J., Woods, A.J. (2011). Climate change and forest diseases. Plant Pathology 60:133–14910.1111/j.1365-3059.2010.02406.xSearch in Google Scholar

Subramanian, N., Bergh, J., Johansson, U., Nilsson, U. (2016). Adaptation of Forest Management Regimes in Southern Sweden to Increased Risks Associated with Climate Change. Forests 7, 8.Search in Google Scholar

Svobodová, J., Voženílek, V. (2010). Relief for Models of Natural Phenomena. In: Anděl, J., Bičík, I., Dostál, P., Shasneshin, S. (eds.): Landscape Modelling: Geographical Space, Transformation and Future Scenarios (Urban and Landscape Perspectives) (pp. 183-196). Springer, Dordrecht.Search in Google Scholar

Šálek, L., Marušák, R., Tipmann, L, Turečková, M. (2013). Autochthonous Norway spruce outside mountain regions in the Czech Republic. Scientia Agriculturae Bohemica, 44, 151–158.10.7160/sab.2013.440305Search in Google Scholar

Šenfelder, M, Maděra, P. (2011). Population Structure and Reproductive strategy of Norway spruce (Picea abies L. Karst) above the Former Pastoral Timberline in the Hruby Jesenik Mountains, Czech Republic. Mountain Research and Development 31(2): 131-143.Search in Google Scholar

Švajda, J. (2008). Climate change and timber line in the European mountains – current knowledge and perspectives. Oecologia Montana, 17, s. 30-33.Search in Google Scholar

Švajda, J., Solar, J., Janiga, M., Buliak, M. (2011). Dwarf Pine (Pinus mugo) and selected abiotic habitat conditions in the Western Tatra Mountains. Mountain Research and Development, 31, č. 3, s. 220-228.10.1659/MRD-JOURNAL-D-09-00032.1Search in Google Scholar

Treml, V., Chuman, T. (2015). Ecotonal Dynamics of the Altitudinal Forest Limit are Affected by Terrain and Vegetation Structure Variables: An Example from the Sudetes Mountains in Central Europe. Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, 47, č. 1, s. 133-146.10.1657/AAAR0013-108Search in Google Scholar

Trnka, M., Brázdil, R., Dubrovský, M., Semerádová, D., Štěpánek, P., Dobrovolný, P., Možný, M., Eitzinger, J., Málek, J., Formayer, H., Balek, J., Žalud, Z. (2011). A 200-year climate record in Central Europe: implications for agriculture. Agronomy for Sustainable Environment, 31, č. 4, s. 631-641.10.1007/s13593-011-0038-9Search in Google Scholar

Tuček, P., Caha, J., Janoška, Z., Vondráková, A., Samec, P., Voženílek, V., Bojko, J. (2013). Forest vulnerability zones in the Czech Republic. Journal of Maps, 10, č. 1, s. 179-182.Search in Google Scholar

Úradníček, L., Maděra, P., Kolibáčová, S., Koblížek, J., Šefl, J. (2001). Dřeviny české republiky. Matice Lesnická s.r.o. Písek.Search in Google Scholar

Vahalík, P., Mikita, T. (2011). Possibilities of forest altitudinal vegetation zones modelling by geoinformatic analysis. Journal of Landscape Ecology (Czech Republic), 4, č. 2, s. 49-61.10.2478/v10285-012-0038-8Search in Google Scholar

Viewegh, J., Kusbach, A., Mikeska, M. (2003). Czech forest ecosystem classification. Journal of Forest Science 49: 85-93.Search in Google Scholar

Vlčková, V. (2014). Systémový charakter modelování možných trendů důsledků klimatických změn nástroji geografických informačních systémů. Acta Informatica Pragensia, 3, č. 1, s. 70-88.Search in Google Scholar

Vlčková, V., Buček, A., Machar, I., Daněk, T., Pechanec, V., Brus, J., Kiliánová, H. (2015). The application of geobiocoenological landscape typology in the modelling of climate change implications. Journal of Landscape Ecology (Czech Republic), 8, č. 2, s. 69-81.10.1515/jlecol-2015-0010Search in Google Scholar

Vondráková, A., Vávra, A., Voženilek, V. (2013). Climatic regions of the Czech Republic. Journal of Maps, 9, č. 3, s. 425-430.10.1080/17445647.2013.800827Search in Google Scholar

Walther, G.R. (2010). Community and ecosystem responses to recent climate change. Philosophical transactions of the Royal society B - Biological Sciences, 365 (1549), s. 2019-2024.10.1098/rstb.2010.0021288012920513710Search in Google Scholar

Walther, G. R., Post, E., Convey, P., Menzel, A., Parmesan, C., Beebee, T. J. C., Fromentin, J. M., Hoegh-Guldberg, O., Fairlein, F. (2002). Ecological responses to recent climate change. Nature, 416, s. 389-395.10.1038/416389a11919621Search in Google Scholar

Woodward, F. I., Lomas, M. R., Betts, R. A. (1998). Vegetation-climate feedback in a greenhouse world. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, B -Biological Sciences, 353 (1356), s. 38-39.10.1098/rstb.1998.0188Search in Google Scholar

Yee, T. W., Mitchell, N. D. (1991). Generalized additive models in plant ecology. Journal of Vegetation Sciences, 2, s. 587-602.10.2307/3236170Search in Google Scholar

Zajaczkowski, J., Brzeziecki, B., Perzanowski, K., Kozak, I. (2013). Wplyw potencjalnych zmian klimatycznych na zdolność konkurencyjna glównych gatunków drzew w Polsce. Sylwan, 157, č. 4, s. 253-261.Search in Google Scholar

Zang C., Hartl-Meier C., Dittmar C., Rothe A., Menzel A. (2014). Patterns of drought tolerance in major European temperate forest trees: climatic drivers and levels of variability. Global Change Biology, 20, 12: 3767-3779.Search in Google Scholar

Zell, J., Hanewinkel, M. (2015). How treatment, storm events and changed climate affect productivity of temperate forests in SW Germany. Regional Environmental Change 15:1531–154210.1007/s10113-015-0777-2Search in Google Scholar

Zlatník, A. (1976). Přehled skupin typů geobiocénů původně lesních a křovinných v ČSR. Zprávy Geografického ústavu ČSAV, 13,s. 55-64.Search in Google Scholar

Zubizarreta-Gerendiain, A., Pukkala, T., Kellomäki, S., Garcia-Gonzalo, J., Ikonen, V-P., Peltola, H. (2015). Effects of climate change on optimised stand management in the boreal forests of central Finland. European Journal of Forest Research 134: 273-280.Search in Google Scholar