<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>This study reconsiders the Fisher effect for the UK from a different methodological perspective. To this aim, the nonlinear ARDL model recently developed by Shin et al. (2014), is applied over the periods of 1995M1-2008M9 and 2008M10-2018M1. This model decomposes the changes in original inflation series as two new series: increases and decreases in inflation rates. Hence, it enables us to examine the Fisher effect in terms of increases and decreases in inflation separately. The empirical findings support asymmetrically partial Fisher effects for the UK in the long-run only for the first period. Additionally, this study attempts to describe and introduce a different version of the partial effect concept for the first time for the UK.</p></abstract>

This study reconsiders the Fisher effect for the UK from a different methodological perspective. To this aim, the nonlinear ARDL model recently developed by Shin et al. (2014), is applied over the periods of 1995M1-2008M9 and 2008M10-2018M1. This model decomposes the changes in original inflation series as two new series: increases and decreases in inflation rates. Hence, it enables us to examine the Fisher effect in terms of increases and decreases in inflation separately. The empirical findings support asymmetrically partial Fisher effects for the UK in the long-run only for the first period. Additionally, this study attempts to describe and introduce a different version of the partial effect concept for the first time for the UK.

The Relationship between Inflation and Interest Rates in the UK: The Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

This study reconsiders the Fisher effect for the UK from a different methodological perspective. To this aim, the nonlinear ARDL model recently developed by...

The Relationship between Inflation and Interest Rates in the UK: The Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Published Online: Sep 18, 2020

Page range: 77 - 86

Received: Feb 19, 2019

Accepted: Jun 27, 2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2020-0037

Keywords
Fisher effect, Nonlinear ARDL, the UK’s treasury bond rates

© 2020 Ismet Gocer et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

The Relationship between Inflation and Interest Rates in the UK: The Nonlinear ARDL Approach

Published Online: Sep 18, 2020

Page range: 77 - 86

Received: Feb 19, 2019

Accepted: Jun 27, 2019

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jcbtp-2020-0037

KeywordsFisher effect, Nonlinear ARDL, the UK’s treasury bond rates

© 2020 Ismet Gocer et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords
Fisher effect, Nonlinear ARDL, the UK’s treasury bond rates