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Does the compensation gap between executives and staffs influence future firm performance? The moderating roles of managerial power and overconfidence


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Figure 1

Theoretical framework of the study.
Theoretical framework of the study.

Figure 2

Adjustment effect diagram to depict the executive shareholding ratio.
Adjustment effect diagram to depict the executive shareholding ratio.

Figure 3

Depiction of validation of hypotheses through theoretical framework.
Depiction of validation of hypotheses through theoretical framework.

Executives holding two posts, pay gap, and future performance of the enterprise

VariablesTwo posts concurrentlyNon two posts concurrently
CoefficientSignificanceVIFCoefficientSignificanceVIF
Constant−3.326***0.000−5.393***0.000
Megap0.088*0.0371.3660.181***0.0001.200
Growth0.173**0.0021.1610.0650.1521.045
Tech−0.0010.6791.279−0.0020.3541.151
Lever−0.425**0.0071.531−0.937***0.0001.520
Size0.123***0.0002.0550.161***0.0001.784
SOE−0.0260.7031.2490.110*0.0171.162
Ind−0.136*0.0381.1970.0820.1291.105
R20.1880.130
F9.236***19.088***
Change in R20.188***0.130***

Common metrics used for management authority

Author(s)Management power metrics
Bebchuk et al. [2002]CEO term and number of years of service, board independence, whether the CEO serves as chairman, whether the CEO retires within 2 years, and whether the CEOs are the major shareholders or not
Cheng et al. [2008]Whether the CEO is the founder, chairman, and sole internal director with a large representation of the right or not
Coombs [2007]Term of office, shareholding ratio, and two posts concurrently
Lurui [2007]Second grade, share diversification, and senior executive tenure
Yan et al. [2015], Graham et al. [2017], Grinstein and Hribar [2003], Shin [2008] and Dai [2014]Years of service as CEO, double duty, equity concentration, and whether the CEO is the founder or not
Schwab and Thomas [2006]CEO’s preference of rights to bargain for
Justin et al. [2016]Degree of decentralization and concurrent and independent directors ratio
Chen and Li [2008] and Shaojian De and Zhang [2014]Integration of two posts, internal director ratio, board size, and shareholding ratio of the first major shareholders
Yu [2015]Unification of two posts, diversification of shareholding, and proportion of management
Becht et al. [2003]The proportion of control rights, the degree of separation of two rights, and the unification of two posts
Graham et al. [2017]Unification of two posts, diversification of shareholding, size of board directors, and proportion of independent directors
Long and He [2018]The number of board, executive title, senior management qualifications, senior management executive ownership, senior management tenure, and stock rights dispersed

Pearson’s correlation factor among the relationship between the variables

VariablesEPSMegapShareDualityOverconGrowthTechLeverSizeSOEInd
EPS1
Megap0.248**1
Share−0.026−0.064*1
Duality0.0000.0010.258**1
Overcon0.0200.0350.203**0.060*1
Growth0.090**0.073*0.175**0.079**0.156**1
Tech−0.0140.057*0.232**0.092**0.106**0.156**1
Lever−0.084**0.026−0.304**−0.113**−0.092**−0.042−0.246**1
Size0.208**0.347**−0.263**−0.141**−0.0030.044−0.229**0.540**1
SOE0.043−0.037−0.512**−0.284**−0.204**−0.186**−0.178**0.311**0.290**1
Ind−0.027−0.123**0.0240.024−0.066*−0.027−0.150**−0.147**−0.232**−0.071*1

Adjustment effect for the executive shareholding ratio

ConstantX coefficientM coefficientX*MM valueX valueLow executive shareholding ratioLow executive share-holding Ratio
−2.7260.149−0.035−0.441−0.16410.750−0.34208−1.90642
0.1637816.090.839274−1.49645

Variable tools

Variable typeVariable codeMeasurement formula
Explained variablesFuture performance of the firmEPSFinal net profit/total number of closing units
Interpreting variablesPay gap between employees and executivesMegapLN (average remuneration for directors, supervisors, and top three employees-average pay for general employees)
Adjusting variablesManagement power characteristicsExecutive shareholding ratiosShareTotal executive stock holdings/total number of shares
Two posts concurrentlyDualityIf the chairman and general managers concurrently hold two posts, the value is 1; otherwise, it is 0
Management power featuresManagement holdingsOverconIf the management holdings increased during the 2-year research period, the value will be 1; otherwise, it is 0
Management overconfidence featuresChanges
Control variablesGrowth of enterpriseGrowth(Final total assets-opening total assets)/opening total assets
Technical complexityTechTotal number of developments/total employees
Capital structureLeverTotal liabilities/total assets
Enterprise scaleSizeLN (year-end total assets)
Company natureSOEThe value of state-owned firm is 1; otherwise it is 0
IndustryIndThe value of manufacturing industry is 1; otherwise, it is 0

Common metrics used for managerial overconfidence

Substitution variablesMeasurement methodPrinciple
Management relative compensationTop three executive compensation/all executive compensationThe higher the management’s relative pay, the stronger its ability to control the firm with confidence [Hayward and Hambrick, 1997; Liu et al., 2010; Kang, 2016]
The historical performance of the enterpriseHigh performance in company’s annual reportsManagers tend to attribute high historical performance to their outstanding talent and decision-making power [Bettman and Weitz, 1983; Hayward and Hambrick, 1997]
Mainstream media evaluationThe vocabulary used to collect reports, as shown in self-confidence, optimism and so on with overconfidence, appears robust and reliableThe more number of words describing optimism, the more overconfident they are [Hayward and Hambrick, 1997]
Deviation of enterprise profit forecastCompare the forecast profit of the enterprise with actual oneThe more assertive an executive, the easier it is to estimate its profitability optimistically [Lin et al., 2005; Xia et al., 2014]
Management stock changeManagement to increase shareholdingIf management is optimistic about the future development of enterprises, it increases their holdings [Carpenter, 1998; Claessens et al., 2002; Malmendier and Tate, 2008]
How often the management implements mergers and acquisitionsNumber of merger acquisition decisions made by executives over a period of timeThe more assertive executives are inclined to overestimate mergers and acquisitions, the more they are engaged frequently with mergers and acquisitions [Doukas and Petmezas, 2007]
Industry sentiment indexIndex interval is 0–1, if >100 is considered as overconfidentThe larger the index, the more overconfident the executives are [Zou et al., 2006; Baker and Jeffrey, 2007]
Consumer confidence indexConsumers’ estimation of current market situation and subjective perception of consumption psychologyThe larger the product value, the more overconfidence the executives represent [Oliver, 2005]

Executive ownership ratio, pay gap, and future performance of the enterprise

Predictor variablesEPS
Model 1Model 2Model 3Variance Inflation Factor
Step 1: Control variables
Growth0.097*0.094*0.096*1.074
Tech0.000−0.001−0.0011.192
Lever−0.922***−0.821***−0.802***1.571
Size0.197***0.151***0.148***1.853
SOE0.0550.0780.0791.476
Ind0.0260.0330.0321.114
Step 2: Interpreting variables
Megap0.158***0.149***1.252
Share0.003−0.0351.478
Step 3: Adjusting variable
Megap*Share−0.441*1.058
Step 4: Predictor variables
R20.1040.1250.129Durbin-Watson1.410
F22.788***21.159***19.470***
Change in R20.104***0.022***0.004*

Common metrics for executive pay

Author(s)Compensation indicator metrics
Xin and Lin [2006] and Fang [2009]Logarithm of the average remuneration of the top three directors
Lurui [2007], Zhou et al. [2013], and Wang [2015]Logarithm of the average remuneration of the top three highest paid executives
Tong and Lu [2005] and Lu and Zhao [2008]Ratio of total annual salary of directors, supervisors, and senior executives to the total number of salaried executives
Zhang [2008] and Chen and Xu [2001]Total annual salary of directors, supervisors, and senior executives
Haung and Yao [2013]The ratio of directors, supervisors, and executives’ salaries to the total number of executives
Lu [2014]Ratio of total annual salary of directors, supervisors, and senior executives to the total number of executives
Kato and Long [2006]Logarithm of the average remuneration of the top three directors, supervisors, and senior executives

Common metrics for employee compensation

Author(s)Compensation indicator metrics
Philip and Paul [2008]Cash paid to employees-total management salary/cash received from sales of goods or service
Shen et al. [2013]Cash paid to employees/average number of employees per year
Fang [2009] and Lu [2014](Cash paid to workers+employee compensation at the end of the quarter)-(employee compensation at the beginning of the quarter-executive annual pay)/(total employees-executive number)
Chen and Li [2011](Cash paid to employees and supervisors-the total annual remuneration of supervisors)/(total number of employees-total number of executives)

Common measures for future performance of domestic (Chinese) firms

Author(s)Performance metrics
Zhang [2008] and Cao et al. [2016]t+1 total asset yield for the year
Hou et al. [2016]t+1 EPS for the year
Chen [2004]t+1 total asset return and net assets utilization for the year
Lin [2015]Company future performance (first year, second year, and third years’ average performance)
Chen et al. [2005]The total asset yield of the company in the second year and the average total asset yield for the following 3 years

Descriptive statistics of dependent (EPS) and independent variables (Megap)

IndustryEPSMegap
AverageMinimum valueMaximum valueAverageMinimum valueMaximum value
B0.06−2.170.7413.1211.9914.23
C0.31−3.1214.2713.2211.1216.09
D0.410.020.9513.1412.4513.94
E0.390.051.3713.3310.7514.42
F0.40−0.323.1613.5912.4514.84
G0.360.190.8213.2412.5214.43
H0.490.490.4913.4313.4313.43
I0.35−0.482.2513.4612.2515.09
K0.630.191.4414.3313.3415.57
L0.410.041.6313.3812.6014.47
M0.20−0.510.7213.4512.5614.58
N0.440.121.2713.0312.5413.43
P0.700.700.7013.2513.2513.25
Q0.360.160.5613.2413.1913.28
R0.510.051.0613.5912.7815.17

Validation of hypotheses

HypothesesContentVerified or not
H1Executive–employee pay gap is positively correlated (0.248) with the firm’s future performance, i.e., the greater pay gap in t the year (the first t-1), the higher the performance level in that year.Verified
H2The greater the management power, the weaker (−0.441) the positive relationship between employee pay gap and future performanceVerified
H2AThe higher the percentage of executive ownership, the weaker (−0.035) the positive relationship between pay gap and firm future performanceVerified
H2BChairman and general manager holding two posts concurrently weaken (−0.164) the positive relationship between pay gap and firm future performanceVerified
H3The higher the level of management overconfidence, the weaker (−3.425) the positive relationship between pay gap and firm future performanceVerified

Management share change, pay gap, and future performance of the enterprise

VariablesManagement overconfidenceNon-management overconfidence
CoefficientSignificanceVIFCoefficientSignificanceVIF
Constant−3.425***0.000−5.097***0.000
Megap0.125**0.0041.2140.164***0.0001.242
Growth0.0520.02811.0460.108*0.0231.059
Tech−0.0010.5611.285−0.0010.7291.154
Lever−0.386*0.0411.767−0.908***0.0001.521
Size0.101*0.0151.9480.158***0.0001.879
SOE0.0220.7391.1360.093*0.0401.204
Ind1.8861.0001.2090.0520.3331.105
R20.0980.132
F3.646***20.319***
Change in R20.098**0.132***

Industry distribution of samples

Industry codeIndustry typeNumber of firmsPercentage
BMining302.5
CManufacturing93378.5
DElectricity, heating, gas, and water production and supply181.5
EConstruction292.4
FWholesale and retail trade342.9
GTransportation, warehousing, and postal services131.1
HAccommodation and catering10.1
IInformation transmission, software, and information technology806.7
KReal estate121
LLeasing and business services90.8
MScientific research and technology90.8
NWater conservatory, environment, and public facilities management60.5
PEducation10.1
QHealth and social work20.2
RCulture, sports, and entertainment121

Variables involved in descriptive statistics

VariableFull sample
AverageMediumStandard deviationMinimum valueMaximum value
EPS0.320.210.63−3.1214.27
Megap13.2613.220.6510.7516.09
Share0.110.010.160.000.70
Duality0.240.000.430.001.00
Overcon0.200.000.400.001.00
Growth0.220.120.47−0.388.55
Tech14.2311.2912.970.0085.53
Lever0.430.410.190.041.04
Size22.3922.241.1219.2127.83
SOE0.410.000.490.001.00
Ind0.781.000.410.001.00