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Board characteristics and earnings forecasts accuracy in IPO prospectuses


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Variation in corporate governance attributes among study sample (N=104)

CharacteristicsManagement boardSupervisory board(SB)
Age: Percentage of members who are:
40 years old or less0.37410.4040
41–50 years old0.38100.2706
51–60 years old0.21770.2249
61 years old or more0.02720.1005
Board size: Percentage of firms with board consisting of:
2 (SB: 5) people or less0.40380.8269
3 (SB: 6) or 4 (SB: 7) people0.51920.1538
5 (SB: 8) people or more0.07690.0192
Female: Percentage of firms with number of women on board:
No women0.70190.3654
1 women0.28850.4231
2 women0.00960.1442
3 and more0.00000.0673
Ownership: Percentage of firms with board ownership:
Less than 5%0.27880.3942
5%–33%0.15380.1250
33%–75%0.19230.1827
More than 75%0.37500.2981

Summary statistics of all variables

SpecificationMeanStandard deviationMedianMinQ1Q3Max
Dependent variables
FER–0.16210.5952–0.0164–3.2360–0.29100.09690.9510
AFER0.34050.51350.19370.00110.05170.39043.2360
SUP1.76363.71011.4153–10.5907–0.93694.050011.8018
Management board variables
BOARD_SIZE2.82691.03763.00001.00002.00003.00006.0000
FEMALE0.10790.18760.00000.00000.00000.22501.0000
AGE_DIV0.33920.24310.44440.00000.00000.50000.7200
OWNERSHIP0.49040.41230.50090.00000.02580.94621.1491
Supervisory board variables
BOARD_SIZE5.25960.77585.00003.00005.00005.000010.0000
FEMALE0.17840.17710.20000.00000.00000.20000.6667
AGE_DIV0.57320.12510.56570.00000.48000.64000.8000
OWNERSHIP0.39910.40730.29440.00000.00000.86751.1060
Control variables
HORIZON20410919926112286487
C_SIZE18603747454365688519228271394543946553
AGE20.557725.4825142819.2500149

The variable definition

VariablesMeasuresPredicted sign
Panel A: Dependent variables
FEREarnings forecast error
AFERAbsolute earnings forecast error
SUPSuperiority of forecasting earnings
Panel B: Board characteristics variables
BOARD_SIZESize of the management board (MB) (supervisory board [SB]) board, which is the totalMB: –
number of directors (supervisors) in the board of firmSB: –
FEMALERatio of the number of female directors (supervisors) to the total number of directorsMB: –
(supervisors) in the board of firmSB: –
AGE_DIVAge diversity of MB (SB) measure based on the modification of the Herfindahl index (HHI)MB: –
SB: –
OWNERSHIPTotal number of shares held by all directors (supervisors) to the total number of pre-initialMB: +
public offering (IPO) outstanding sharesSB:
Panel C: Control variables
HORIZON*The horizon of an earnings forecast is measured as the number of days from the release of
the prospectus to the end of the IPO year
C_SIZE*Size is measured by the total value of sales in the year prior to the IPO+
AGE*The difference between the IPO date and the date of incorporation in years+

Correlation matrix of explanatory variables

SpecificationBOARD_SIZEFEMALEAGE_DIVOWNERSHIPHORIZONC_SIZE
Panel A: Pearson correlation coefficient for management board
BOARD_SIZE1.0000
FEMALE0.01451.0000
AGE_DIV0.4083***0.2281**1.0000
OWNERSHIP–0.03150.0659–0.07261.0000
HORIZON–0.0247–0.00710.0247–0.01531.0000
C_SIZE0.3454***–0.3008***0.1292–0.0821–0.05631.0000
AGE0.0125–0.01760.1049–0.14890.03630.3606***
Panel B: Pearson correlation coefficient for supervisory board
BOARD_SIZE1.0000
FEMALE–0.11151.0000
AGE_DIV0.1435–0.00081.0000
OWNERSHIP–0.17290.3364***–0.01851.0000
HORIZON–0.0895–0.0375–0.08790.01461.0000
C_SIZE0.3129***0.03600.3015***0.0197–0.05631.0000
AGE–0.04730.2175**0.1915*0.1731*0.03630.3606***

Determinants of the earnings forecast error in the initial public offering (IPO) prospectus – OLS regression results

SpecificationManagement boardSupervisory board
FERAFERSUPFERAFERSUP
Intercept0.12650.201413.4316–0.86190.56446.7546
(0.2126)(0.4105)(3.6868***)(–1.3183)(1.0402)(1.7184)*
BOARD_SIZE–0.11010.07520.09920.05430.01510.7690
(–1.8064)*(1.4959)(0.2659)(0.7283)(0.2447)(1.7158)*
FEMALE–0.49450.2607–1.97790.0299–0.19565.7761
(–1.5630)(0.9994)(–1.0212)(0.0922)(–0.7276)(2.9663)***
AGE_DIV0.4949–0.34812.48601.3556–1.08763.0330
(1.9581)*(–1.6707)*(1.6067)(3.0161)***(–2.9160)***(1.1225)
OWNERSHIP0.0173–0.2086–1.0044–0.0055–0.0341–0.7528
(0.1303)(–1.9068)*(–1.2362)(–0.0389)(–0.2919)(–0.8905)
HORIZON–0.23550.2556–2.3265–0.20480.2358–2.1132
(–3.0907)***(4.0688)***(–4.9874)***(–2.7136)***(3.7653)***(–4.6571)***
C_SIZE0.0800–0.0928–0.00970.0410–0.0693–0.0341
(1.8690)*(–2.6294)***(–0.0371)(1.0200)(–2.0765)**(–0.1411)
AGE0.0863–0.0651–0.02380.0882–0.0299–0.1156
(1.1523)(–1.0544)(–0.0519)(1.1726)(–0.4786)(–0.2557)
Adj R20.15720.23070.18710.18230.24350.2393
F-statistics3.74515.41154.38784.28015.73575.6298
p-value for F-statistics0.00130.00000.00030.00040.00000.0000
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