<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p> Subject and purpose of work: The main task of this paper is to examine the proximity of valuations generated by different valuation models to stock prices in order to investigate their reliability at Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) and to present alternative “scenario” methodology for discounted free cash flow to firm valuation. Materials and methods: By using publicly available data from MSE we are calculating stock prices with three stock valuation models: Discounted Free Cash Flow, Dividend Discount and Relative Valuation. Results: The evaluation of performance of three stock valuation models at the MSE identified that model of Price Multiplies (P/E and other profitability ratios) offer reliable stock values determination and lower level of price errors compared with the average stocks market prices. Conclusions: The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model provides values close to average market prices, while Dividend Discount (DDM) valuation model generally mispriced stocks at MSE. We suggest the use of DCF model combined with relative valuation models for accurate stocks’ values calculation at MSE.</p></abstract>

Subject and purpose of work: The main task of this paper is to examine the proximity of valuations generated by different valuation models to stock prices in order to investigate their reliability at Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) and to present alternative “scenario” methodology for discounted free cash flow to firm valuation. Materials and methods: By using publicly available data from MSE we are calculating stock prices with three stock valuation models: Discounted Free Cash Flow, Dividend Discount and Relative Valuation. Results: The evaluation of performance of three stock valuation models at the MSE identified that model of Price Multiplies (P/E and other profitability ratios) offer reliable stock values determination and lower level of price errors compared with the average stocks market prices. Conclusions: The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model provides values close to average market prices, while Dividend Discount (DDM) valuation model generally mispriced stocks at MSE. We suggest the use of DCF model combined with relative valuation models for accurate stocks’ values calculation at MSE.

Performance Evaluation of Stocks’ Valuation Models at MSE

Economic and Regional Studies / Studia Ekonomiczne i Regionalne

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

{"article-title":"Performance Evaluation of Stocks\u2019 Valuation Models at MSE"}

Subject and purpose of work: The main task of this paper is to examine the proximity of valuations generated by different valuation models to stock prices in...

Performance Evaluation of Stocks’ Valuation Models at MSE

Published Online: Sep 25, 2018

Page range: 7 - 23

Received: Jan 01, 2018

Accepted: Jun 01, 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ers-2018-0011

Keywords
valuation, cash flow, discounting, dividends, ratios

© 2018 Zoran Ivanovski, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Performance Evaluation of Stocks’ Valuation Models at MSE

Published Online: Sep 25, 2018

Page range: 7 - 23

Received: Jan 01, 2018

Accepted: Jun 01, 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/ers-2018-0011

Keywordsvaluation, cash flow, discounting, dividends, ratios

© 2018 Zoran Ivanovski, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Keywords
valuation, cash flow, discounting, dividends, ratios