<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p> Background: In this paper the well-known risk measurement method Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is applied to the Croatian stock market to estimate the risk for 8 sectors in Croatia. The method and an appropriate backtesting are applied to the sample of 29 stocks grouped into 8 sectors for the three different periods: the period of economic growth 2006-2007, the crisis period 2008-2009 and the post-crisis period 2013-2014, characterized by long-term economic stagnation in Croatia. Objectives: The objective of this paper is to estimate the risk of 8 sectors on the Croatian stock market in three different economic periods and to identify whether the sectors that are risky during the crisis period are the same sectors that are risky in the period of economic growth and economic stagnation. Methods/Approach: The Conditional Value-at-Risk method and an appropriate backtesting are applied. Results: Empirical findings indicate that sectors that are risky in the period of economic growth are not the same sectors that are risky during the period of economic crisis or stagnation. Conclusions: In all the three periods, the least risky sectors were Hotel-management, Tourism, Food, and Staples Retailing. The Construction sector in all the three periods was among the riskiest sectors</p></abstract>

Background: In this paper the well-known risk measurement method Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is applied to the Croatian stock market to estimate the risk for 8 sectors in Croatia. The method and an appropriate backtesting are applied to the sample of 29 stocks grouped into 8 sectors for the three different periods: the period of economic growth 2006-2007, the crisis period 2008-2009 and the post-crisis period 2013-2014, characterized by long-term economic stagnation in Croatia. Objectives: The objective of this paper is to estimate the risk of 8 sectors on the Croatian stock market in three different economic periods and to identify whether the sectors that are risky during the crisis period are the same sectors that are risky in the period of economic growth and economic stagnation. Methods/Approach: The Conditional Value-at-Risk method and an appropriate backtesting are applied. Results: Empirical findings indicate that sectors that are risky in the period of economic growth are not the same sectors that are risky during the period of economic crisis or stagnation. Conclusions: In all the three periods, the least risky sectors were Hotel-management, Tourism, Food, and Staples Retailing. The Construction sector in all the three periods was among the riskiest sectors

CVaR in Measuring Sector's Risk on the Croatian Stock Exchange

Business Systems Research Journal

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

{"article-title":"CVaR in Measuring Sector's Risk on the Croatian Stock Exchange"}

Background: In this paper the well-known risk measurement method Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is applied to the Croatian stock market to estimate the risk...

CVaR in Measuring Sector's Risk on the Croatian Stock Exchange

Published Online: Jul 28, 2018

Page range: 8 - 17

Received: Jan 31, 2018

Accepted: Apr 21, 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bsrj-2018-0015

Keywords
Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), Croatian stock market, sector’s risk

© 2018 Zdravka Aljinović, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

CVaR in Measuring Sector's Risk on the Croatian Stock Exchange

Published Online: Jul 28, 2018

Page range: 8 - 17

Received: Jan 31, 2018

Accepted: Apr 21, 2018

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/bsrj-2018-0015

KeywordsConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), Croatian stock market, sector’s risk

© 2018 Zdravka Aljinović, published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.

Keywords
Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), Croatian stock market, sector’s risk