<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The rapid growth of fossil fuels and the aggravation of emission pollution can be improved by the green and diversified energy structure of road transport vehicles. In this article, Cui–Lawson model is first introduced to analyse the change trend of pure electric vehicle, hybrid electric vehicle, gas–fuel vehicle, fuel cell vehicle, biofuel vehicle and traditional vehicle in the next 50 years. Considering the climate, environment and economic development of each region, the future ownership of the above six models was studied by region. Moreover, the climate and topography affect the developing trend strongly. The ownership of traditional automobile is more than other kinds of vehicles until 35 and 40 years in Xibei and Dongbei regions for the cold temperature.</p></abstract>

The rapid growth of fossil fuels and the aggravation of emission pollution can be improved by the green and diversified energy structure of road transport vehicles. In this article, Cui–Lawson model is first introduced to analyse the change trend of pure electric vehicle, hybrid electric vehicle, gas–fuel vehicle, fuel cell vehicle, biofuel vehicle and traditional vehicle in the next 50 years. Considering the climate, environment and economic development of each region, the future ownership of the above six models was studied by region. Moreover, the climate and topography affect the developing trend strongly. The ownership of traditional automobile is more than other kinds of vehicles until 35 and 40 years in Xibei and Dongbei regions for the cold temperature.

Prediction of Chinese Automobile Growing Trend Considering Vehicle Adaptability based on Cui–Lawson Model

Key Laboratory of Operation Safety Technology on Transport Vehicles

Applied Mathematics and Nonlinear Sciences

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

The rapid growth of fossil fuels and the aggravation of emission pollution can be improved by the green and diversified energy structure of road transport...

Prediction of Chinese Automobile Growing Trend Considering Vehicle Adaptability based on Cui–Lawson Model

Published Online: Nov 16, 2020

Page range: 367 - 376

Received: Jul 09, 2020

Accepted: Aug 14, 2020

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/amns.2020.2.00054

Keywords
road transport, power source, population competition model, life cycle

© 2020 Jia Feng et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Prediction of Chinese Automobile Growing Trend Considering Vehicle Adaptability based on Cui–Lawson Model

Published Online: Nov 16, 2020

Page range: 367 - 376

Received: Jul 09, 2020

Accepted: Aug 14, 2020

DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/amns.2020.2.00054

Keywordsroad transport, power source, population competition model, life cycle

© 2020 Jia Feng et al., published by Sciendo

This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Keywords
road transport, power source, population competition model, life cycle