<abstract xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for active reservoir conservation storage capacity and its achieved values. By introducing uncertainties into the considered inputs of the water management analysis of a reservoir, the subsequent analysed reservoir storage capacity is also affected with uncertainties. The values of water outflows from the reservoir and the hydrological reliabilities are affected with uncertainties as well. A simulation model of reservoir behaviour has been compiled with this kind of calculation as stated below. The model allows evaluation of the solution results, taking uncertainties into consideration, in contributing to a reduction in the occurrence of failure or lack of water during reservoir operation in low-water and dry periods.</p></abstract>

The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for active reservoir conservation storage capacity and its achieved values. By introducing uncertainties into the considered inputs of the water management analysis of a reservoir, the subsequent analysed reservoir storage capacity is also affected with uncertainties. The values of water outflows from the reservoir and the hydrological reliabilities are affected with uncertainties as well. A simulation model of reservoir behaviour has been compiled with this kind of calculation as stated below. The model allows evaluation of the solution results, taking uncertainties into consideration, in contributing to a reduction in the occurrence of failure or lack of water during reservoir operation in low-water and dry periods.

Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

Brno University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Institute of Landscape Water Management, Veveří 331/95, 616 00, Brno, Czech republic.

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

This chapter is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

The paper contains a sensitivity analysis of the influence of uncertainties in input hydrological, morphological and operating data required for a proposal for...

Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

Published Online: Oct 20, 2015

Page range: 287 - 294

Received: Mar 20, 2015

Accepted: Jun 02, 2015

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0036

Keywords
Uncertainties, Reliability, Reservoir storage capacity, Monte Carlo method, Mean monthly flows, Evaporation, Elevation–volume curve, Elevation–area curve

© 2015 Daniel Marton et al., published by De Gruyter Open

This chapter is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

Analysis of the influence of input data uncertainties on determining the reliability of reservoir storage capacity

Published Online: Oct 20, 2015

Page range: 287 - 294

Received: Mar 20, 2015

Accepted: Jun 02, 2015

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/johh-2015-0036

KeywordsUncertainties, Reliability, Reservoir storage capacity, Monte Carlo method, Mean monthly flows, Evaporation, Elevation–volume curve, Elevation–area curve

© 2015 Daniel Marton et al., published by De Gruyter Open

This chapter is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Public License.

Keywords
Uncertainties, Reliability, Reservoir storage capacity, Monte Carlo method, Mean monthly flows, Evaporation, Elevation–volume curve, Elevation–area curve