Open Access

The Future of Rural Poland: the Main Trends and Possible Scenarios.

   | Feb 19, 2018

Cite

Abildtrup, J., Audsley, E., Fekete-Farkas, M., Giupponi, C., Gylling, M., Rosato, P. & Rounsevell, M. 2006 ‘Socio-economic scenario development for the assessment of climate change impacts on agricultural land use: a pairwise comparison approach’, Environmental Science and Policy 9: 101-115.10.1016/j.envsci.2005.11.002Search in Google Scholar

Bański, J. 2013a Polska wieś w perspektywie 2050 roku (Polish countryside in the perspective of the year 2050; in Polish), Studia Obszarów Wiejskich 33, Warszawa: PTG, IGiPZ PAN.Search in Google Scholar

Bański J. (ed.) 2013b Polska wieś w perspektywie długookresowej-ujęcie regionalne (Polish countryside in a long-term perspective – the regional approach; in Polish). Studia Obszarów Wiejskich, 31, PTG, IGiPZ PAN.Search in Google Scholar

Coates, J.F. 2000 ‘Scenario Planning’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 65: 115-123.10.1016/S0040-1625(99)00084-0Search in Google Scholar

Dammers, E. 2010 ‘Making territorial scenarios for Europe’, Futures 42: 785-793.10.1016/j.futures.2010.04.010Open DOISearch in Google Scholar

Ekands, B. H. M. & Praestholm, S. 2008 ‘Landowners' perspectives on the rural future and the role of forest across Europe’, Journal of Rural Studies 24: 72-85.Search in Google Scholar

Gough, C. et al. 1999 VISONS for the NW, Interim report, UMIST and Manchester University: Manchester.Search in Google Scholar

Goux-Baudiment, F., Ghișa, M., Dator J. A. & Cole, S. 2011 ‘Designing a foresight exercise for the future of rural communities in Romania’, Future pp. 43, 9, 996-1008, Elsevier Science.10.1016/j.futures.2011.06.009Search in Google Scholar

Gausemeir, J., Fink, A. & Schlane, O. 1998 ‘Scenario Management: An Approach to Develop Future Potentials’, Technological Forecasting and Social Change 59: 111-130.Search in Google Scholar

Gierszewska, G. & Romanowska, M. 2009 Analiza strategiczna przedsiębiorstwa (Strategic analysis of the enterprise; in Polish), Warszawa: PWE.Search in Google Scholar

Hedström, M. & Littke, H. 2011 Perspectives on rural development in the Nordic countries – Policies, governance, development initiatives, Nordregio Working Paper 3, Stockholm: Nordregio.Search in Google Scholar

Hogan, A. & Young, M. 2013 ‘Visioning a future for rural and regional Australia’, Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society 6: 319–330.10.1093/cjres/rst005Search in Google Scholar

IPCC 1994 ‘IPCC Technical Guidelines for Assessing Climate Change Impacts and Adaptations’, in T. R. Carter; M. L. Parry; H. Harasawa & S. Nishioka (eds) Part of the IPCC Special Report to the First Session of the Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, Working Group II. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. University College London, UK and Center for Global Environmental Research, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan.Search in Google Scholar

IPCC – Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Emissions scenarios, 2000, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.Search in Google Scholar

Jannson, K. & Terluin, I. 2009 Alternative futures of rural areas in the EU: a comparative analysis of scenario studies, 113th EAAE Seminar, The role of knowledge, innovation and human capital in multifunctional agriculture and territorial rural development, Belgrade 9-11.12.2009.Search in Google Scholar

Jungermann, H. 1985 Psychological aspects of scenarios, NATO ASI series, vol. G4 (Environmental Risk Assessment, Technology Assessment and Risk Analysis).10.1007/978-3-642-70634-9_13Search in Google Scholar

Kahn, H. & Wiener, A. 1967 The year 2000, New York: MacMillan.Search in Google Scholar

Kimura, R. 2010 ‘Visioning the Future of Rural Communities: How were Appreciative Inquiry and Discontinuous Leap Approaches Applied in Japan’s Progressive Rural Revitalization Cases?’, Ritsumeikan Journal of Asia Pacific Studies 28: 1-17.Search in Google Scholar

Klijn, J. A., Vullings, L. A. E., van den Berg, M., van Meijl, H., van Lammeren, R., van Rheenen, T., Veldkamp, A., Verburg, P. H., Westhoek, H. & Eickhout, B. 2005 The EURURALIS study: Technical document. Wageningen, Alterra, Alterra-rapport 1196, 215. Available: http://www.eururalis.nl/background.htm (16.12.2014).Search in Google Scholar

Kolarska-Bobińska, L., Rosner, A. & Wilkin, J. (eds) 2001 Przyszłość wsi polskiej. Wizje, koncepcje, strategie (The future of the Polish countryside. The visions, concepts, and strategies), Warszawa: Instytut Spraw Publicznych.Search in Google Scholar

Kuhlman, T., LeMouël, P. & Wilson, C., 2006 Baseline scenario storylines,Search in Google Scholar

Deliverable 2.1.1, SENSOR project. Available: http://edepot.wur.nl/993 (17.12.2014).Search in Google Scholar

Kupiszewski, M. & Bijak, J. 2007 Population and labour force forecast for nine European countries: assumptions and results, CEFMR Working Paper, 4/2007, Warsaw.Search in Google Scholar

Nakičenovič, N., Alcamo, J., Davis, G., de Vries, B., Fenhann, J., Gaffin, S., Gregory, K., Grubler, A., Jung, T. Y., Kram, T., Emilio, la Rovere E., Michaelis, L., Mori, S., Morita, T., Pepper, W., Pitcher, H., Price, L., Riahi, K., Roehrl, A., Rogner, H.-H., Sankovski, A., Schlesinger, M.E., Shukla, P.R., Smith, S., Swart, R.J., van Rooyen, S., Victor, N. & Dadi, Z. 2000 Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, Cambridge: University Press.Search in Google Scholar

Marsden,T. 1999 ‘Rural Futures: The Consumption Countryside and its Regulation’, Sociologia Ruralis 39(4): 501-520.10.1111/1467-9523.00121Open DOISearch in Google Scholar

Moyer, K. 1996 ‘Scenario planning at British Airways—A case study’, Long Range Planning 29(2): 172–181.10.1016/0024-6301(96)00005-2Open DOISearch in Google Scholar

Notten, van P. W. F., Romans, J., van Asselt, M. B. A. & Rothman, D. S. 2003 ‘An updated scenario typology’, Futures 35: 423-443.10.1016/S0016-3287(02)00090-3Open DOISearch in Google Scholar

Nowicki, P., Weeger, C., van Meijl, H., Banse M., Helming, J., Terluin, I., Verhoog, D., Overmars, K., Westhoek, H., Knierim, A., Reutter, M., Matzdorf, B., Margraf, O. & Mnatsakanian, R. 2006, Scenar 2020. Scenario study on agriculture and the rural world, Brussels: DG Agriculture and Rural Development.Search in Google Scholar

Our countryside: the future. A fair deal for rural England, 2000, Department of the Environment, Transport and the Regions, London.Search in Google Scholar

Our Rural Future 2011, The Scottish Government.Search in Google Scholar

Paul, V. 2013 ‘Hopes for the countryside's future. An analysis of two endogenous development experiences in south-eastern Galicia’, Journal of Urban and Regional Analysis V(2): 169 – 192.Search in Google Scholar

Postma, T. J. B. M. & Loebl, F. 2005 ‘How to improve scenario analysis as a strategic management tool?’ Technological Forecasting and Social Change 72: 161-173.10.1016/S0040-1625(03)00152-5Search in Google Scholar

Rienks, W. (ed.) 2008 The future of rural Europe – an anthology based on the results of the Eururalis 2.0 scenario study, Wageningen: Alterra.Search in Google Scholar

Ringland, G. 1998 Scenario Planning: Managing for the Future, Wiley & SonsSearch in Google Scholar

Rotmans, J., van Asselt, M., Anastasi, Ch., Greeuw, S., Mellors, J., Peters, S.,Search in Google Scholar

Rothman, D. & Rijkens, N. 2000 ‘Visions for a sustainable Europe’, Futures 32: 809-831.Search in Google Scholar

Rural Finland 2015, The future operating environment of rural development work, 2006, Rural Policy Committee, Capful LTD., Vantaa.Search in Google Scholar

Rural Futures Project: Scenario Creation and Backcasting, 2005, Summary report and recommendations, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, UK.Search in Google Scholar

Scenarios and Vision for European Territory 2050, Main Draft Final Report of Espon, project (ET2050), Available: http://www.espon.eu/export/sites/default/Documents/Projects/AppliedResearch/ET2050/DFR/ET2050_DFR_MAIN_REPORT-V3.pdf (14.12.2014)Search in Google Scholar

Scott, A.J., Shorten, J., Owen, R. & Owen I. 2011 ‘What kind of countryside do the public want: community visions from Wales UK?’, GeoJournal 76: 417-436.10.1007/s10708-009-9256-ySearch in Google Scholar

Shucksmith, M. 2012 Future direction in rural development? Carnegie UK Trust, Andrew Carnegie House.Search in Google Scholar

U.S. Congress 1991, Office of Technology Assessment, Rural America at the Crossroads: Networking for the Future, OTA-TCT-47, Washington, DC, Government Printing Office.Search in Google Scholar

Wilkin, J. (ed.) 2005 Polska wieś 2025. Wizja rozwoju (Polish countryside 2025. A vision for development; in Polish), Warszawa: IRWiR PAN.Search in Google Scholar

Verburg, P.H., Schulp, C. J. E, Witte, N. & Veldkamp, A. 2006 ‘Downscaling of land use change scenarios to assess the dynamics of European landscapes’, Agriculture Ecosystems and Environment 114: 39-56.10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.024Search in Google Scholar

Verburg, P. H., Veldkamp, A. & Rounsevell, M. D. A. 2006 ‘Scenario-based studies of future land use in Europe’, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 114: 1-6.10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.023Search in Google Scholar

Volkery, A., Rireiro, T., Henrichs, T. & Hoodeveen, Y. 2008 ‘Your Vision or My Model? Lesson from Participatory Land Use Scenario Development on a European Scale’, Systematic Practice and Action Research 21: 459-477.10.1007/s11213-008-9104-xSearch in Google Scholar

Westhoek, H. J., van den Berg, M. & Bakkes, J. A. 2006 ‘Scenario development to explore the future of Europe’s rural areas’, Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 114: 7-20.10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.005Search in Google Scholar

Wilson, I. 2006 ‘From scenario thinking to strategic action’ in D. Mayle (ed.) Managing Innovation and Change, London: SAGE Public. Ltd., pp. 44-52.Search in Google Scholar

World Business Council for Sustainable Development Exploring Sustainable Development, 1998, Global Scenarios 2000–2050, London: WBCSD.Search in Google Scholar

eISSN:
2300-8717
Language:
English
Publication timeframe:
Volume Open
Journal Subjects:
Social Sciences, Sociology, other