Published Online: Dec 30, 2016
Page range: 45 - 56
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/trser-2015-0079
Keywords
© 2016 Pablo del Monte-Luna et al., published by De Gruyter Open
This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 3.0 License.
During the last 60 years, the world marine fisheries potential has been estimated between 22·106 tons and 1 400·106 tons.
However, there are no certain indications of when and with what probability such potential will be reached.
By fitting a logistic curve to the observed world marine catch, corrected for discards and illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing, here we calculated that such potential stands between 132·106 tons and 153·106 tons and might be achieved as soon as the year 2027, with 95% confidence.