Risk Assessment of the Adverse Events in Air Transportation

Open access

Abstract

In the field of security in transport distinguish risks related to flight safety and aviation security. Safety of flights is ensured through the reliability of aviation equipment and the qualification of the personnel who services and operates it, aviation security is a condition of protection from illegal interference in its activity. Risk management in civil aviation in the field of security is a relatively new direction of activity. Deep research in this area began only at the beginning of the XXI century. It is quite difficult to use the existing experience of risk management, accumulated in other spheres, as civil aviation has significant features. Various methods and schemes can be used to assess risks. The article discusses various options for predicting risks using the “event tree” and “risk factor tree” methods.

If the inline PDF is not rendering correctly, you can download the PDF file here.

  • [1] ICAO. Annex 19 to the Convention on International Civil Aviation. Security Management flights 2013.

  • [2] R. L. Helmreich J. R. Klinect and J. A Wilhelm. “Models of threat error and CRM in flight operations.” In Proceedings of the Tenth International Symposium on Aviation Psychology The Ohio State University 1999.

  • [3] IOSA Standards Manual 12th Edition IATA Montreal-Geneva 2018.

  • [4] Quality management and quality assurance Vocabulary British Standard ВСENISO-8402 1992.

  • [5] E. Fontela and A. Gabus The DEMATEL Observe Battelle Institute Geneva Research Center 1976.

  • [6] Safety Management Manual (Doc 9859-AN / 460) 4th ed. ICAO 2018.

  • [7] N. T. J. Вaileу The Elements of Stochastic Processes with Applications to the Natural Sciences. New York: John Wiley 1964.

  • [8] EASA. SAFA Ramp Inspection’s Guidance Material v2.0 2012. [Online] Available: https://www.easa.europa.eu/sites/default/files/dfu/SAFA%20Ramp%20Inspections%20Guidance%20Material%20-%20Version%202.0.pdf [Accessed Dec.14 2018].

  • [9] A. J. Stolzer C. D. Halford and J. J. Goglia. “Safety Management Systems in Aviation” 3rd ed. 2018. [Online] Available: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/9781351149631 [Accessed Dec.19 2018].

  • [10] A. Jastrebinskis and V. Šestakovs “The Method for Assessing the Level of Flight Safety in Airline with Small and Medium Operations” In: 4th Starptautiskā zinātniskā konference "Transporta sistēmas loģistika un inženierija-2016 Rīgas Aeronavigācijas institūts Riga Latvia pp. 20-30 2016.

  • [11] C. R. Glaeser. How to Employ Risk Management at a Major Air Carrier. 2004.

  • [12] V. D. Sharov and V. P. Makarov FMEA-FTA metodologija postroenija dereva razvitija aviacionnogo sobytija. Nauchnyj vestnik MGTU Grazhdanskoj Aviacii pp. 18-24 2011

  • [13] C. V. Oster J. S. Strong and C. K. Zorn Why Airplanes Crash: Aviation Safety in a Changing World. 1st ed. Oxford University Press 1992.

  • [14] B. V. Zubkov and V. D. Sharov Teorija i praktika opredelenija riskov v aviapredprijatijah pri razrabotke sistemy upravlenija bezopasnost'ju poletov. M.: MGTU GA 2010.

  • [15] J. Nisula “Operational Risk Assessment. Next Generation Methodology” ARMS Working Group 2009. [Online] Available: https://skybrary.aero/bookshelf/books/694.pdf [Accessed Jan.17 2019].

  • [16] R. Bruce and W. Anderson “A Markov chain model of medical speciality choice.” J. Math. Sociology. vol. 3 no. 2 pp. 259-274 1974. https://doi.org/10.1080/0022250X.1974.9989838.

Search
Journal information
Metrics
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 358 358 16
PDF Downloads 255 255 8