Lake water level variations in Belarus

Open access


Lake level is one of the most important lake characteristics which allows the results of different effects to be identified and detected. In this work time series of the water levels of Belorussian lakes were analysed in order to detect pattern variations, to evaluate quantitatively the transformation of the hydrological regime of lake ecosystems and to develop prediction models. The possibility of plotting predicting models of lake water levels one year in advance was shown. The complication in plotting predicting models is in its individuality, the huge volume of initial data and the impossibility of immediate assessment of the results. Additional complications are caused by the inhomogeneity of time series of water levels in lakes.

If the inline PDF is not rendering correctly, you can download the PDF file here.

  • Bjerring R. Olsen J. Jeppesen E. Buchardt B. Heinemeier J. McGowan S. Leavitt P.R. Odgaard B.V. 2013 Climate- driven changes in water level: A decadal scale multi- proxy study recording the 8.2-ka event and ecosystem responses in Lake Sarup (Denmark) J. Paleolimnol. 49(2): 267-285.

  • Boks D. Dzhenkins G. 1974 Analiz vremiennych riadov prognoz i upravlienie. Tom 1 (Time series analysis forecasting and control. Vol. 1) Izd. Mir Moscov p. 406 (in Russian).

  • Ismaiylov G. Kh. Fedorov V.M. 2001 Analysis of long-term variations in the Volga annual runoff) Water Resour. 28(5): 469-477.

  • Li. Y. Morrill C. 2013 Lake levels in Asia at the Last Glacial Maximum as indicators of hydrologic sensitivity to greenhouse gas concentrations Quaternary Sci. Rev. 60: 1-12.

  • Loginov V.F. Volchek A.A. 2005 Izmenenie ispareniia s vodnojpoverkhnosti na teritorii Belarusi (Changes in evaporation from water surface in Belarussia’s area) Geografia Prirodnye Resursy 26(2): 137-144 (in Russian English summary).

  • Loginov V.F. Volchek A.A. Volobueva G.V. 2005 Izmenenie vetrovogo rezhima na territorii Belarusi v XX v. (The wind regime changes in Belarus in the 20th century) Prirodnye Resursy 10(4): 5-12 (in Belorussian).

  • MacKay M. Seglenieks F. 2013 On the simulation of Laurentian Great Lakes water levels under projections of global climate change Climatic Change 117(1-2): 55-67.

  • Ratkovich D.Ya. 1976 Mnogoletnie kolebaniya rechnogo stoka (The long-term fluctuations of river flow) Gidrometeoizdat Leningrad p. 255 (in Russian).

Journal information
All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 150 79 1
PDF Downloads 89 65 1