Gerland, P., A.E. Raftery, H. Ševčíková, N. Li, D. Gu, T. Spoorenberg, L. Alkema, B.K. Fosdick, J. Chunn, N. Lalic, G. Bay, T. Buettner, G.K. Heilig, and J.R. Wilmoth. 2014. “World Population Stabilization Unlikely This Century.” Science 346: 234–237. Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1257469 (accessed on 20 September 2014).
Lutz, W. and J.R. Goldstein. 2004. “Introduction: How to Deal with Uncertainty in Population Forecasting?” International Statistical Review 72: 1–4.
NZIER. 2014. “Costly Investment Decisions Require Improved Population Forecasts.” NZIER Insight 47. Wellington: New Zealand Institute of Economic Research.
O’Hagan, A., C.E. Buck, A. Daneshkhah, J.E. Eiser, P.H. Garthwaite, D.J. Jenkinson, J.E. Oakley, and T. Rakow. 2006. Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Expert Probabilities. Chichester: Wiley.
Raftery, A.E. 2014. Use and Communication of Probabilistic Forecasts. Mimeo; University of Washington. Available at: http://arxiv.org/abs/1408.4812 (accessed on 22 August 2014).
Raftery, A.E., N. Li, H.Ševčíková, P. Gerland, and G.K. Heilig. 2012. “Bayesian Probabilistic Population Projections for All Countries.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109: 13915–13921.