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Scenarios in Regional Planning – Theory and Practice in Poland

REFERENCES AMER, M., DAIM, T. U. and JETTER, A. (2013), ‘A review of scenario planning’, Futures , 46, pp. 23–40. AVIN, U. (2016), Sketch Tools for Regional Sustainability Scenario Planning, http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/docs/NCHRP08-36(117)_FR.pdf (20.02.2018). BATTY M. (2002), ‘Integrated Tools for Planning Support in an Online World’, [in:] BAZZANELLA, L., CANEPARO, L., CORSICO, F. and ROCCASALVA, G. (eds.), The Future of Cities and Regions: Simulation , Scenario and Visioning, Governance and Scale, Dordrecht, Heidelberg

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Methods for the Design of Climate Change Scenario in Slovakia for the 21St Century

References Bartholy J., Pongracz R., Gelybo G.Y., 2007, Regional climate change expected in Hungary for 2071-2100, Applied Ecology and Environmental Research, 5, 1, 1-17. Boer G.J., McFarlane N.A., Lazare M., 1992, Greenhouse Gas-induced Climate Change Simulated with the CCC Second-Generation General Circulation Model, J. Climate, 5, 1045-1077. Damborska I., Gaal L., Lapin M., Melo M., 2002, Scenarios of sea level and upper air pressure fields in the Euro-Atlantic area until 2100, Acta Met. Univ. Comenianae

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Supporting the Absorbent National Rural Development Planning by Scenarios

: Argumentum Kiadó. [14] Kristóf, T. (2002). A szcenárió módszer a jövőkutatásban [technical report]. Budapest: Corvinus University. DOI: 10.13140/RG.2.1.4277.4481. [15] Makkai G. (2008). Vidékfejlesztés . Marosvásárhely: Mentor Kiadó. [16] Mats, L. & Hans, B. (2009). Scenario Planing. The links between future and strategy . Basingstoke: Palgrave and Macmillan. [17] Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J. & Behrens, W. W. (1972). Limits to growth . New York: Universe Books. [18] Mészáros, B. (2012). A vidékies térségek jövője Közép

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Analysis of future climate scenarios and their impact on agriculture in eastern Arkansas, United States

S., H u Q. 2004. Changes in agro-meteorological indicators in the contiguous United States: 1951–2000. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. Vol. 78. Iss. 4 p. 247–264. F eng S., H u Q., H uang W., H o C.-H., L i R., T ang Z. 2014. Projected climate regime shift under future global warming from multi-model, multi-scenario CMIP5 simulations. Global and Planetary Change. Vol. 112 p. 41–52. DOI 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.11.002. G illip J.A., C zarnecki J.B. 2009. Validation of a groundwater flow model of the Mississippi River Valley alluvial

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Forest management scenarios modelling with morphological analysis – examples taken from Podpoľanie and Kysuce

References Albert, M., Hansen, J., Nagel, J., Schmidt, M., Spellmann, H., 2015: Assessing risks and uncertainties in forest dynamics under different management scenarios and climate change. Forest Ecosystems, 2:14. Amer, M., Daim, T. U., Jetter, A., 2013: A review of scenario planning. Future, 46: 23–40. Bishop, P., Hines, A., Collins, T., 2007: The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques. Foresight, 9:5–25. Bošeľa, M., Sedmák, R., Sedmáková, D., Marušák R., Kulla, L., 2014: Temporal shifts of climate

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Scenarios for Evaluating a Semantic Project Management Approach

Scenarios for Evaluating a Semantic Project Management Approach

Knowledge regarding closed projects is not sufficiently reused while planning new projects to improve the quality of project management processes. The reason is that current project management systems mainly support the ongoing project phase and do not explicitly consider the initiating and closing phase of a project management life cycle. By implementing semantic technologies within an existing open source project management system, these weaknesses can be improved. This system incorporates and links historical project knowledge that contributes to a more effective setup of upcoming projects. To design, develop and implement such a system we conducted interviews with IT companies regarding the strengths and weaknesses of the project management systems in use. On the basis of the interviews we identified three scenarios, which deal with the most common problems of project management, such as consistent data storage and how to retrieve information. These scenarios, described in this paper, are used as requirements and to evaluate the designed prototype.

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Application of a technique for scenario prediction of climate change impact on the water balance components of northern river basins

.) Gusev, E.M., Nasonova, O.N., 2013. A technique for scenario prediction of changes in water balance components in northern river basins in the context of possible climate change. Water Resour., 40, 4, 426-440. Gusev, E.M., Nasonova, O.N., Dzhogan, L.Y., 2006a. The simulation of runoff from small catchments in the permafrost zone by the SWAP model. Water Resour., 33, 2, 115-126. Gusev, E.M., Nasonova, O.N., Kovalev, E.E., 2006b. Modeling the components of heat and water balance for the land surface of the globe. Water Resour., 33, 6, 616

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Scenario Development Approach to Management Simulation Games/ Vadību imitējošo spēļu scenāriju veidošanas pieeja/ Подход для разработки сценариев в деловых имитационых играх

-directed Multisimulation Framework for Simulation Games Management”, International Journal of Simulation and Process Modeling, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 184-192, 2012. http://dx.doi.org/10.1504/IJSPM.2012.049150 [4] M. Jarke, X. T. Bui, J. M. Caroll, “Scenario Management: An Interdisciplinary Approach”, Requirements Engineering, vol. 3, issue 3-4, pp. 155-173, 1998. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s007660050002 [5] D. A. Kononov, V. V. Kulba, S. S. Kovalevsky, S. A. Kosjachenko, Development of scenario spaces and the analysis of dynamics of behaviour of social and

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Damage scenarios and an onboard support system for damaged ships

ABSTRACT

Although a safety assessment of damaged ships, which considers environmental conditions such as waves and wind, is important in both the design and operation phases of ships, in Korea, rules or guidelines to conduct such assessments are not yet developed. However, NATO and European maritime societies have developed guidelines for a safety assessment. Therefore, it is required to develop rules or guidelines for safety assessments such as the Naval Ship Code (NSC) of NATO. Before the safety assessment of a damaged ship can be performed, the available damage scenarios must be developed and the safety assessment criteria must be established. In this paper, the parameters related to damage by accidents are identified and categorized when developing damage scenarios. The need for damage safety assessment criteria is discussed, and an example is presented. In addition, a concept and specifications for the DB-based supporting system, which is used in the operation phases, are proposed.

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Scenarios of a Sustainable E-leadership for Thai Higher Educational Institution Leaders in 2027

Abstract

E-leadership has not been thoroughly explored, especially in Thai higher educational institutions. This study was conducted in a scenario planning workshop with 20 participants who were administrators, lecturers, staff members, and stakeholders of both Thai public and private higher educational institutions. The aim of this research was to develop the scenarios for Thai higher educational institution leaders to use E-leadership in 2027. The three scenarios for educational leaders to use E-leadership were developed for future Thai higher educational institutions and were e-leaders and international collaborations; e-leaders, innovation and sustainable environment; and e-leaders and the current situation. The scenarios were developed using STEEP analysis. The social aspect includes the phenomenon of youth called “digital natives”, increased individual learning and society of learning, generation gap, well-educated employees, and an aging society. The technological aspect is acclimatizing to the need of users, advancing technology and innovation, technology being everywhere, and competition within technology development. The economic aspect considers increase in oil prices, investment in university, increasing numbers of cross-institutions, and rapid economic growth in ASEAN. The environmental aspect considers global warming, climate change, and redesigns learning space. Lastly, the political aspect considers government policies in education and improved environmental governance. It does not only benefit higher education, but also schools or any organization that could apply this sustainable education research to develop human resources for the future.

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