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Regional differences in the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on seasonal river runoff in Poland

22: 533-541. Danilovich I., Wrzesiński D. & Nekrasova L., 2007. Impact of the North Atlantic Oscillation on river runoff in the Belarus part of the Baltic Sea basin. Nordic Hydrology 38(4-5): 413-423. Falarz M., 2007. Snow cover variability in Poland in relation to the macro- and mesoscale atmospheric circulation in the twentieth century. International Journal of Climatology 27: 2069-2081. Kaczmarek Z., 2002. Wpływ Oscylacji Północnoatlantyckiej na przepływy rzek europejskich. In: A

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A system-theory-based model for monthly river runoff forecasting: model calibration and optimization

Abstract

River runoff is not only a crucial part of the global water cycle, but it is also an important source for hydropower and an essential element of water balance. This study presents a system-theory-based model for river runoff forecasting taking the Hailiutu River as a case study. The forecasting model, designed for the Hailiutu watershed, was calibrated and verified by long-term precipitation observation data and groundwater exploitation data from the study area. Additionally, frequency analysis, taken as an optimization technique, was applied to improve prediction accuracy. Following model optimization, the overall relative prediction errors are below 10%. The system-theory-based prediction model is applicable to river runoff forecasting, and following optimization by frequency analysis, the prediction error is acceptable.

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The present-day condition of water resources in Belarus

principakh razmeshchenia i perspektivakh razvitia gidrologicheskoi seti (On the principles of placement and prospects of hydrological network development), Trudy GGI 164: 3-36 (in Russian). Kovalenko V.V., Pivovarova I.I., 2000, Optimizacia rezhimnoi gidrologicheskoi seti na osnove stokhasticheskoi modeli formirovania rechnogo stoka (Optimization of the regime of the hydrological network based on a stochastic model of river runoff), Izd. RGGMU, Sankt-Petersburg, p. 43 (in Russian). Loginov V.F. (ed.), 2003, Prognoz izmenenia okruzhaiushchei

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Wavelet analysis of the Baltic region river runoff longh-term trends and fluctuations

Resources Res. , 20 (6), 727-732. Hirsch, R.M., Slack, J.R., Smith, R.A. (1982). Techniques of trend analysis for monthly water quality data, Water Resources Res. , 18 (1), 107-121. Jaagus, J., Järvet, A., Roosaare, J. (1998). Modelling the climate change impact on river runoff in Estonia. In: Climate Change Studies in Estonia (pp. 117-127). T. Kallaste, P. Kuldna (eds.). Tallinn: Stockholm Environment Institute Tallinn Centre. Jaagus, J. (2009). Regionalisation of the precipitation pattern

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Assessment of changes in the Viliya River runoff in the territory of Belarus

(The environmental justification of the extent of the permissible regulation of river runoff), Izd. BelNIINTI, Minsk, 52 pp [in Russian]. Fashchevskiy B.V., 1996, Osnovy ecologicheskoy gidrologii (Basics of ecological hydrology), Izd. Ekoinvest, Minsk, 240 pp [in Russian]. IPCC, 2013a, Annex I: Atlas of Global and Regional Climate Projections Supplementary Material RCP2.6 [van Oldenborgh G.J., Collins M., Arblaster J., Christensen J.H., Marotzke J., Power S.B., Rummukainen M.T. Zhou (eds)], [in:] Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis

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Changes of total annual runoff distribution, high and low discharges in Latvian rivers

Changes of total annual runoff distribution, high and low discharges in Latvian rivers

The paper examines climate change impacts on the hydrological regime of nineteen different river basins in Latvia. Hydrological data series for the period of 1951-2006 were analysed for river basins of four hydrological districts: Western, Central, Northern and Eastern. Climate change has influenced the temporal and spatial distribution of total annual river runoff and high and low flows in Latvia at the turn of century. The results confirm the hypothesis that the main tendency in the run-off change is a decrease in spring floods and increase in winter. Generally, statistically insignificant long-term trends were observed for summer and autumn.

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Impact of climate fluctuations on the spring runoff regime with regard to rivers in Lithuania

reservoirs. In: Rural development 2009. Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference. Vol. 4. Iss. 2. 15–17 October, 2009. Akademija, Kaunas region, Lithuania. Vilnius. Lithuanian University of Agriculture p. 24–28. G alvonaitė A., M isiūnienė M., V aliukas D. 2007. Lietuvos klimatas [Lithuanian climate]. Vilnius. Lithuanian Hydrometeorological Service. G ottchalk L., K rasovskaia I. 1997. Climate change and river runoff in Scandinavia, approaches and challenges. Boreal Environment Research. Vol. 2. Iss. 2 p. 145–162. G oudie A. 2000. The

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Model of Eco-Water Driving Force Affecting the Evolvement of Runoff in the Upper Minjiang River Basin

Abstract

The amount of eco-water resources reflects the land surface water conservation capability, and the underlying surface condition in the hydrologic cycle. In the upper Minjiang River Basin, the amounts of eco-water resources were retrieved from remotely sensed data during 1992 to 2005. Through regression analysis between the retrieved eco-water data and the climate hydrological data mainly including the temperature, the precipitation, and the runoff in the same period, the model of eco-water driving force affecting the evolvement of runoff was established. The accuracy analysis indicates that the model can well describe the relationship between dry season runoff and its driven factors, the measured data validation proves that the model has high precision and good practicability. The eco-water remote sensing inversion provides a valid method to quantify the land surface water conservation capability, and suggests an interesting approach for the driving function quantitative researches of underlying surface factor in the hydrologic cycle.

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Runoff change scenarios based on regional climate change projections in mountainous basins in Slovakia

changing environment. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 4, 1, 190-196. Kostka Z., Holko L., 2000: Impact of climate change in a small mountain catchment. Publication of National Climate Programme of the Slovak Republic, 9, SHMI, ME SR, Bratislava, 91-109. Kostka Z., Holko L., 2001: Impact of vegetation changes on river runoff in a small moun­tain catchment. Publication of National Climate Programme of the Slovak Republic, 10,SHMI, ME SR, Bratislava, 82-93. Lapin M., Basták-Durán I., Gera M., Hrvol’ J., Kremler M., Melo M., 2012

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Absolute chronology of fluvial events in the Upper Dnieper River system and its palaeogeographic implications

Glacial time. Geological Society of America Special Papers 473: 1–25. http://dx.doi.org/10.1130/2011.2473(01) [45] Sidorchuk A, Panin A and Borisova O, 2009. Morphology of river channels and surface runoff in the Volga River basin (East European Plain) during the Late Glacial period. Geomorphology 113(3–4): 137–157, DOI 10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.03.007. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2009.03.007 [46] Sidorchuk AY, Panin AV and Borisova OK, 2012. River Runoff Decrease in North Eurasian Plains during the Holocene

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