Glückshaus is a relatively modern version of the larger family of Games of Seven (games played with two six-sided dice and a stake board with fields usually numbered 2-12, often with an emphasized 7.). This paper looks at various historical versions of the game and shows how the modern Glückshaus version and its pecularities (e.g. a missing field for the number 4) came about when the dice game was combined with a stake board for a card game
A large chess variant played on a 12x12 board was inadvertently created by G. H. Verney, author of Chess Eccentricities, who seriously misinterpreted one of his sources, A. van der Linde’s Quellenstudien zur Geschichte des Schachspiels. Despite its serendipitous origins, the game, for which the name Verney’s Duodecimal Chess seems appropriate, is surprisingly playable. A set of rules is suggested since those provided by Verney are incomplete.
Le wargame est un outil de réflexion qui emploie des techniques créatives pour stimuler l’imagination des historiens, des décideurs et des analystes dans un but d’identification d’opportunités et de menaces. Son objet est de permettre à ses joueurs de recréer des situations spécifiques et, plus important encore, d’être capable d’explorer ce qui aurait pu (approche historique) ou pourrait (approche prospective) se passer si le joueur décidait de faire les choses différemment.
Issu d’une tradition assez longue de tentatives d’adaptation du jeu d’échecs à la simulation de bataille, le wargame s’applique depuis plus de deux siècles à la modélisation d’affrontements militaires à des fins de formation et d’élaboration de nouvelles stratégies ou tactiques. Par la suite, son champ d’application s’est étendu, il y a un peu plus d’un siècle, à la réflexion historico-militaire et depuis une soixantaine d’années à l’aide à la décision stratégique concernant des affrontements concurrentiels et économiques. Selon les moyens disponibles et les contextes de leurs mises en œuvre, les wargames prennent désormais quatre formes différentes : jeux de rôles de type grandeur nature, simulations informatiques, modélisation à base de figurines (ou sandbox) et modélisation sur des cartes ou plateaux.
Nous nous intéresserons, dans le cadre de ce travail, spécifiquement aux cas des wargames sur cartes et plateaux (board wargames). Nous les aborderons d’abord en tant que moyen de compréhension d’une situation historique et militaire, puis en tant que transposition à des fins d’analyse stratégique concurrentielle. Nous commencerons par en décrire les contours historiques et fondamentaux pratiques. Puis, nous montrerons comment le formateur peut adapter ou concevoir le “jeu” selon la situation qu’il doit modéliser ainsi qu’au public auquel il est destiné. Nous discuterons ainsi de la conception d’un wargame en fonction des objectifs visés, du développement du prototype et de la phase de tests en tant que première confrontation au public ciblé par le formateur. Nous présenterons aussi comment, la modélisation d’un wargame est transposable à la modélisation d’un marché. Au-delà de l’aspect ludique et des objectifs du jeu, nous montrerons comment les participants peuvent prendre part à sa conception. De cette manière, nous aborderons la réflexion autour de la conception du jeu qui, bien menée, permet d’appréhender dans son entier un environnement concurrentiel et ses acteurs et d’en comprendre tous ses mécanismes et ses enjeux.
Mazozo N. Mahlangu DFMR and Jennifer M. Fitchett CDMR
Wedding tourism is a fast emerging niche market both globally and in South Africa, as destination weddings are becoming increasingly popular. Wedding industries across the world, and specifically in South Africa, are increasingly dependent on the natural environment. Wedding venues with floral gardens, farms, orchards or forests are particularly popular. Beyond the venue, flowers are important for the bouquets and decoration, with popular blooms changing year on year. Shifting phenology – the timing of annually recurrent biological events – has been identified as one of the most sensitive responses to climate change. This poses a threat to the sustainability of floral wedding venues and the floral industry relating to weddings. This exploratory study utilizes an interdisciplinary mixed-method approach to record the importance of flowers in South African weddings and the perceived threats of climate change to this subsector. The respondents reveal the importance of flowers and the outdoors in both symbolism and the enjoyment of the wedding day, and had organised their wedding date to align with flowering. Destinations highlight a lack of awareness regarding phenological threats and are relatively unperturbed about the threats of climate change. Comparison to global phenological shifts reveals that these are misplaced. There is, therefore, a need for such wedding venues to adopt adaptive strategies to preserve their environment which drives wedding tourism.
Voting is becoming of significance in Nigeria, as in many other countries in Africa. Although Nigerian electoral politics has attracted full attention from scholars, there is little research on the factors that determine voter turnout in the country at the local level, especially the South-East geopolitical zone (GPZ). This paper is a stepwise logistic regression analysis of the determinants of voting in Nsukka council in Enugu State, South-East GPZ of Nigeria. The results show that age (0.230), education (0.532), marital status (1.355), political trust (1.309) and partisanship (˗0.570) are significant predictors of voter turnout. The effect of age, education, marital status and political trust on voting is positive and statistically significant, but partisanship has a statistically significant negative relationship with voting (p<0.01). The paper highlights the importance of local level geographical differentials in the factors influencing voting in Nigeria.
Michal Klobučník CDFMR, Martin Plešivčák CDFMR and Milan Vrábeľ CDFMR
The aim of the study is to evaluate the relationship between the sporting success of football clubs, their market value and the economic performance of the regions they are located in. All member states of the European Union are under consideration, taking into account the success of the clubs in the highest-ranked male national football competitions and in European cups. The data are processed at NUTS 2 level over a period of one decade (2007–2016). From a methodological point of view, it is beneficial to construct original indexes of clubs’ sporting performance – both at the national level, and an overall one that also takes into account results in international (European) competition. To determine the existence of a link between the sporting performance of the club, its market value and the economic performance of the regional level unit it is located in (measured by gross domestic product), correlation and regression analysis is utilised. For example, the results show a high positive statistical link between a club’s sporting performance and its market value, but a relevant direct statistical link has also been confirmed between the economic performance of the region and the market value of the club, with respect to its sporting success. However, the analysis also showed that the club of a relatively poor region (from a pan-European point of view) could reach above-average results at the highest European level, and vice versa – a club with a high market value, from an economically highly over-developed region, could lag behind.
Vladimir А. Usoltsev CDFMR, Agnieszka Piernik CDFMR, Anna A. Osmirko CDFMR, Ivan S. Tsepordey CDFMR, Viktor P. Chasovskikh CDFMR and Walery Zukow CDFMR
Since ancient times, climate change has largely determined the fate of human civilisation, which was related mainly to changes in the structure and habitats of forest cover. In the context of current climate change, one must know the capabilities of forests to stabilise the climate by increasing biomass and carbon-depositing abilities. For this purpose, the authors compiled a database of harvest biomass (t/ha) in 900 spruce (Picea spp.) sample plots in the Eurasian area and used the methodology of multivariate regression analysis. The first attempt at modelling changes in the biomass additive component composition has been completed, according to the Trans-Eurasian hydrothermal gradients. It is found that the biomass of all components increases with the increase in the mean January temperature, regardless of mean annual precipitation. In warm zonal belts with increasing precipitation, the biomass of most of the components increases. In the process of transitioning from a warm zone to a cold one, the dependence of all biomass components upon precipitation is levelled, and at a mean January temperature of ˗30°C it becomes a weak negative trend. With an increase in temperature of 1°C in different ecoregions characterised by different values of temperature and precipitation, there is a general pattern of decrease in all biomass components. With an increase in precipitation of 100 mm in different ecoregions characterised by different values of temperature and precipitation, most of the components of biomass increase in warm zonal belts, and decrease in cold ones. The development of such models for the main forest-forming species of Eurasia will make it possible to predict changes in the productivity of the forest cover of Eurasia due to climate change.