Variability and Risk Assessment of Hail in the Republic of Moldova

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Abstract

Overall goal of the current research is to improve hail monitoring and risk assessment as an essential component of hail risk management and planning. The research investigates geographical and temporal variability of hail incidence based on conventional stations reports on hail days from 1891 to 2015. Using the advances in extreme value modeling the study provides the first regional assessment of hail risk based on the return level and waiting time concept within a univariate framework that provides critical information for designing resilience to cope with this climate hazard at high resolution. The proposed in the study the systems of hail risk assessment aimed at ensuring more effective use of the hail data in terms of aligning with management design information, which is essential for preparedness planning and proactive response measures.

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