Global drivers effect in multi-annual variability of runoff

Open access


Changes in runoff parameters are very important for Slovakia, where stream-flow discharges, being supplied by precipitation and groundwater runoff, are preferentially influenced by climatic conditions. Therefore, teleconnections between runoff parameters, climate parameters and global atmospheric drivers such as North Atlantic Oscillation, Southern Pacific Oscillation, Quasi-biennial oscillation and solar activity were studied in the Nitra River Basin, Slovakia. Research was mostly based on records of 80 years (1931-2010) for discharges and baseflow, and 34 years for groundwater heads. Methods of autocorrelation, spectral analysis, cross-correlation and coherence function were used. Results of auto- correllograms for discharges, groundwater heads and base flow values showed a very distinct 11-year and 21-year periodicity. Spectrogram analysis documented the 11-year, 7.8-year, 3.6-year and 2.4-year periods in the discharge, precipitation and air temperature time series. The same cycles except of 11-years were also identified in the long-term series of the North Atlantic Oscillation and Southern Pacific Oscillation indices. The cycle from approximately 2.3 to 2.4-years is most likely connected with Quasi-biennial oscillation. The close negative correlation between the North Atlantic Oscillation winter index and the hydrological surface and groundwater parameters can be used for their prediction within the same year and also for one year in advance.

Alexandersson, H., 1986. A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data. J. Climate, 16, 6, 661-675.

Alexandersson, H., Moberg, A., 1997. Homogenization of Swedish temperature data. Part I: Homogeneity test for linear trends. J. Climate, 17, 1, 25-34.

Angulo-Martínez, M., Beguería, S., 2012. Do atmospheric teleconnection patterns influence rainfall erosivity? A study of NAO, MO and WeMO in NE Spain, 1955-2006. J. Hydrol., 450-451, 168-179.

Burt, T.P., Howden, N.J.K, 2013. North Atlantic Oscillation amplifies orographic precipitation and river flow in upland Britain. Water Resour. Res., 49, 6, 3504-3515.

De Linage, C., Kim, H., Famiglietti, J.S., Yu, J.-Y., 2013. Impact of Pacific and Atlantic sea surface temperatures on interannual and decadal variations of GRACE land water storage in tropical South America. Journal of Geophysical Research D: Atmospheres, 118, 19, 10811-10829.

Fendeková, M., Fendek, M., 2012. Groundwater drought in the Nitra River Basin - identification and classification. J. Hydrol. Hydromech., 60, 3, 185-193.

Fritier, N., Massei, N., Durand, A., Laignel, B., Deloffre, J., Fournier, M., 2010. Links between NAO fluctuations and interannual variability of precipitation in the Seine River watershed. In: Servat E., Demuth S., Dezetter A., Daniel T. (Eds): FRIEND 2010: Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats to Water Resources. IAHS Publication No. 340, IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 576-583.

Gregor, M., 2011. Možnosti využitia softvérového balíka HydroOffice 2010 pre hydrológov a hydrogeológov. [The usage possibilities of HydroOffice 2010 software for hydrologists and hydrogeologists]. Acta Geol. Slovaca, 3, 1, 95-104. (In Slovak with English Abstract and Summary.)

Hannaford, J., Buys, G., Stahl, K., Tallaksen, L.M., 2013. The influence of decadal-scale variability on trends in long European streamflow records. Hydrol. Earth System Sci., 17, 7, 2717-2733.

Herrmann, A., Egger, F., 1980. Das Abflussverhalten im Flussgebiet der Isar unter Anwendung der Fourier-Analyse. [Runofff behaviour in the Isar Basin using the Fourier analysis]. Deutsche Gewässerkundliche Mitteilungen, 24, 3-4, 81-86. (In German.)

Hurrell, J.W., Deser, C., 2009. North Atlantic climate variability: The role of the North Atlantic Oscillation. J. Mar. Syst., 78, 28-41. DOI:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2008.11.026.

Hurrell, J., National Center for Atmospheric Research Staff (Eds.), 2013. The Climate Data Guide: Hurrell North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Index (station-based). Last modified 02 December 2013. Retrieved from Institute of Hydrology, 1980. Low flow studies. Res. Rep. 1, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, UK, 41 p.

Landscape Atlas of the Slovak Republic, 2002. Ministry of the Environment of the Slovak Republic, Bratislava, 344 p.

Lavers, A.D., Prudhomme, C., Hannah, D., 2010. Influence of large scale climatic circulation on precipitation and river discharge for a selection of British catchment. In: Servat, E., Demuth, S., Dezetter, A., Daniel, T. (Eds.): FRIEND 2010: Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats to Water Resources. IAHS Publication No. 340, IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 629-636.

Machlica, A., Fendekova, M., Fendek, M., 2010. Modeling of groundwater runoff parameters development in different geological conditions. Acta Geologica Slovaca (AGEOS), 2, 2, 103-112.

Pekarova, P., Pekar, J., 2007. Teleconections of inter-annual streamflow fluctuation in Slovakia with Arctic Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Southern Oscillation, and Quasi- Biennial Oscillation phenomena. Advances in Atmospheric sciences, 24, 4, 655-663.

Pekarova, P., Miklanek, P., Pekar, J., 2003. Spatial and temporal runoff oscillation analysis of the main rivers of the world during the 19th-20th centuries. J. Hydrol., 274, 62-79.

Pekarova, P., Miklanek, P., Pekar, J., 2006. Long-term trends and runoff fluctuations of European rivers. In: Demuth, S., Gustard, A., Planos, E., Scatena, F., Servat E. (Eds.): FRIEND 2006: Climate Variability and Change - Hydrological Impacts. IAHS Publication No. 308, IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 520-525.

Pekarova, P., Miklanek, P., Skoda, P., Pekar, J., Pacl, J., 2010. Multi-annual discharge variability and trend analyses of the Bela River (Slovakia) in 1895-2006. In: Herrmann, A., Schumann, S. (Eds.): Status and Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins. IAHS Publication No. 336, IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 59-64.

Rysava, Z., Fendekova, M., Pekarova, P., 2008. Rezim hladiny podzemnej vody v casti Zvolenskej kotliny medzi Banskou Bystricou a Zvolenom. [Groundwater level regime in the part of Zvolen Basin between Banska Bystrica and Zvolen]. Podzemna voda, 14, 2, 159-171. (In Slovak.)

Saris, F., Hannah, D.M., Eastwood, W.J., 2010. Changes in precipitation and river flow in northern Turkey: Associations with the North Atlantic Oscillation. In: Servat, E., Demuth, S., Dezetter, A., Daniel, T. (Eds.): FRIEND 2010: Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats to Water Resources. IAHS Publication No. 340, IAHS Press, Wallingford, pp. 568-575.

Stepanek, P., 2003. AnClim - software for time series analysis and homogenization.

Stepanek, P., Zahradnicek, P., Skalak, P., 2009. Data quality control and homogenization of air temperature and precipitation series in the area of the Czech Republic in the period 1961-2007. Adv. Sci. Res., 3, 23-26.

Tallaksen, L.M., Van Lanen, H.A.J. (Eds.), 2004. Hydrological drought: processes and estimation methods for streamflow and groundwater. Developments in Water Science, 48, The Netherlands, Amsterdam, Elsevier Science, 579 p.

Van Loon, A.F., Van Lanen, H.A.J., Hisdal, H., Tallaksen, L. M., Fendekova, M., Oosterwijk, J., Horvat, O., Machlica, A., 2010. Understanding hydrological winter drought in Europe. In: Servat, E., Demuth, S., Dezetter, A., Daniel T. (Eds): FRIEND 2010: Global Change: Facing Risks and Threats toWater Resources. IAHS Publication, No. 340, IAHS Press, Oxfordshire, pp. 189-197.

Wanner, G., Brönnimann, S., Casty, C., Gyalistras, D., Luterbacher, J., Schmutz, C., Stephenson, D.B., Xoplaki, E., 2001. North Atlantic oscillation - concepts and studies. Surv. Geophys. 22, 321-382.

Wrzesiński, D., 2011. Regional differences in the influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation on seasonal river runoff in Poland. Quaestiones Geographicae, 30, 3, 127-136.

Journal of Hydrology and Hydromechanics

The Journal of Institute of Hydrology SAS Bratislava and Institute of Hydrodynamics CAS Prague

Journal Information

IMPACT FACTOR 2017: 1.714
5-year IMPACT FACTOR: 1.639

CiteScore 2017: 1.91

SCImago Journal Rank (SJR) 2017: 0.599
Source Normalized Impact per Paper (SNIP) 2017: 1.084

Cited By


All Time Past Year Past 30 Days
Abstract Views 0 0 0
Full Text Views 148 148 17
PDF Downloads 56 56 5